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Thread: 澳元分析

  1. #1
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    Default 澳元分析

    最新发布的贸易数据仅仅强调了澳洲需求的强劲,数据显示11月进口增长1.8%至纪录新高;出口表现更为强劲,上升5.6%,帮助推动贸易逆差缩窄21%至22.5亿澳元,低于预估的逆差25亿澳元。数据令市场预期2月澳洲央行的升息机率接近50%。

    周四澳元涨至0.8976,周五仍然持于高位下方附近,市场臆测美国将进一步大幅调降利率以帮助经济避免衰退。美国联储主席贝南克此前表示,fed准备好采取实质性的额外行动以支持经济增长,并为对抗经济下档风险提供充足的保证,此后美元下跌;贝南克的讲话令市场益发押注联储将在本月底大幅降息50个基点,而且今年还将进一步调低利率,与此形成对比的是,近期澳洲发布强劲的数据暗示澳洲央行可能不得不在未来几个月中升息,从而扩大澳元的利差优势。澳元在技术上已见升破下降平衡通道顶部,亦见进而突破0.89关口,形势上维持偏好澳元,而当前需要攻克的将为0.90关口;其后上方阻力可看至0.91水平及50日保历加通道上轨0.9155。另一方面,由于0.89为原先阻力,目前则会参考成较近支撑,向下一级支持则为5天平均线0.8840水平

  2. #2
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    Default

    并为对抗经济下档风险

  3. #3
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    Default

    澳元没做过,只知道它受资源价格影响很大

  4. #4
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    Default

    也没做过澳元

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