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Thread: Macd指标使用精解

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    Default Macd指标使用精解

    Macd指标使用精解
     技术指标变来变去都离不开价、量、时、空四大因素,任何指标相对于成交的价量而言都是相对滞后的,把它视为灵丹妙药,就如练武之人虽偷学了众多门派的武功,但由于仅仅掌握点皮毛,加之各派间武功往往又相克,因此会误入歧途、走火入魔。因此,投资者要避免进入指标误区,坚持少而精、熟能成巧的原则。真正的股林高手往往是无招胜有招,熟练掌握经典技术指标,如kdj、rsi、macd等,在实战中灵活运用,往往能达到一招制敌的效果。  

     macd平滑异同移动平均线,是根据移动平均线发展而来的,主要是利用长期与中短期移动平均线来计算两者之间的差离情况,作为研判行情买卖之依据,其中包括了三条线,macd线、dif线、柱状线bar。实战运用如下

      1、dif、macd取值与交叉。当dif、macd在0轴之上时,表明中短期移动平均线位于长期移动平均线之上,为多头市场。在0轴之上,当dif 向上突破macd时,是较好的买入信号;dif向下跌破macd时只能认为是回落,此时宜平仓出货、获利了结。反之,当dif、macd在0轴之下时,表明是空头市场。在0轴之下,当dif向下跌破macd时,是较佳的卖出信号;dif向上突破macd时,只能认为是反弹,作暂时空头回补。在沪综指周k线图上,2000年以来macd作为中期买卖点作用尽显。

      2、dif形态。dif在较高或较低的位置形成头肩形和多重顶或底时,是实战中极好的买卖信号。形态一定要在较高位置或较低位置出现,位置越高或越低,结论越可靠。沪综指在2002年1月见底1339时,周k线图dif在低位构筑标准的w底。沪综指2003年1月见底1311时,日k线图dif已构筑成标准的头肩底。 

      3、背离。dif或macd在高位或低位,往往出现与股价走向的背离。当股价的高点比前一次的高点要高,dif或macd处在高位并形成两个依次向下的峰,此时股价还在继续上涨,为顶背离,预示着股价将会反转下跌,为卖出信号。沪综指在2001年向2245攻击时,股价虽一浪比一浪高,但dif与 Macd却并未创新高,顶背离明显。当股价的低点比前一次的低点要低,dif或macd处在低位并形成一底比一底高,股价还继续下跌,为底背离,预示股价将会反转上涨,是买入信号。沪综指2003年1月见底1311时,股价虽一浪比一浪低,但dif与macd却并未创新低,已构成底背离。  

      实战中,由于macd是中长线指标,买卖点与最低、最高价之间的价差较大,不过这符合不买地价,不卖天价的股谚,因此macd并不适应短线操作, Macd对于井喷或暴挫行情的反应要慢半拍。由于其与股价的移动相比会有一定的时间差,当股价处于盘整时,按macd操作往往会无利润甚至会亏手续费,因此作为中期转向信号的macd主要起辅助工具功能,研判主要还是依据k线、均线等技术分析。

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    这个指标我知道一点,但不知道这么有用呀

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    dif在较高或较低的位置形成头肩形和多重顶或底时,是实战中极好的买卖信号。

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    macd是中长线指标

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    我一直都在用macd看方向

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    当dif、macd在0轴之上时,表明中短期移动平均线位于长期移动平均线之上

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    可惜外汇的软件不能自己写指标

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    macd是个好用的趋势指标

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    灵活运用macd才能达到一招制 敌的效果。  

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