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Thread: 应用k线的四项基本原则

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    Default 应用k线的四项基本原则

    应用k线时,可参考本间宗久在酒田战法中的四大指导原则,即风林火山。

    所谓的风,指的是疾如风果断的行动,在行情反转破位时,尽快处置目前的仓位,截断损失以避免更大的伤害;

    所谓的林,指的是徐如林舒缓的节奏,在行情盘整时,步调放缓,高出低进;

    所谓的火,指的是掠如火顺势的侵掠,在单边的趋势市道里,牢牢把握住当前的仓位,坐拥利润,并根据趋势演进,一路合理加仓,绝不犹豫手软;

    所谓的山,指的是不动如山严明的纪律,很多时候市场走势不明,勉强进场不但无法获利,反而把自己暴露在极大的风险中,不若观望!

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    Default 用好k线的前提:勿忘收益/风险比

    要想用好K线,不仅要熟悉K线形态,并且还需配合健全的交易策略。K线所处的整体技术面,其重要程度远超过单独的K线形态。


    史蒂夫尼森(Steve Nison)是将K线引到西方交易领域的先锋和核心人物,他形象地作了一个比喻,K线只是技术分析调色盘中的一种主要颜料,要想绘出优美的画作,必须有其他颜料的配合。在交易环境相当成熟的日本,有交易员持这样的观点,即凭单独的K线,不足以了解市场,日本人需借鉴西方,吸取西方技术的精华



    K线是一种优秀的工具,但是独木难成林,优秀的交易者懂得谨慎处理困境,在掌握整体技术面的前提下,以策略取胜。其中重要的策略有:限制损失的观念;评估风险与报酬的关系;由整体技术面来判断价格形态,头寸建立后的跟踪。这些原则是用好K线的前提。






    以评估风险与报酬的收益风险比为例,这是运用K线的一项重要前提,K线能提供比较及时的交易机会,但是人们经常忘掉交易的潜在收益与风险的关系,来单一地判断K线形态。



    评估交易机会,核心因素在于收益/风险比与成功率,这比单纯的K线形态更重要,须牢牢把握。假设我们的收益/风险比是3:1,成功率是70%,在此条件下,我们做10次交易,赚7次,赔3次,每次盈利300点,每次亏损100点,那么,10次交易做下来,我们整体盈利为7*300-100*3=1800点。



    要想一箭穿喉,除了拉满硬弓之外,还须掌握好放弦的时机。只有在明确了收益/风险比与成功率,我们才能决定是否放出射杀对手的市场之箭。当多头或空头信号出现时,如果没有合理的收益/风险比和成功率,就放弃这些乍看之下诱惑人心的K线信号。

    所以K线形态与健全的交易策略相互配合,才可以成为市场利刃。

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    Default

    要熟悉k线形态,并且配合健全的交易策略。

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    Default

    K线交易,值得我们研究,

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