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Thread: Aud Outlook

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    Default Aud Outlook

    The Australian Dollar (AUD) remained relatively steady throughout the session. Overall the AUDUSD traded with low of 0.8368 and a high of 0.8437 before closing the day at 0.8401 in the New York session

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    Default Outlook

    It may attempt a test higher to 0.8929 after which weakness may set it to a drift down to below 0.8812 limit.
    sm_smile

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    Default Aud/usd

    Overall structure is bearish. Decelerating momentum could attract it towards supports at 0.8668 or 0.8590. Major support is clustered around 0.8512 limit.
    3dblob

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    Default Aud Usd

    It is likely to attempt to below 0.8619 while below 0.8713 - 0.8728 area. Rise above 0.8775 would dampen this bearish expectation.
    I put buy stop 0.8740 Tp 0.8768 Sl 0.8720 now

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    In Profit richtrader's Avatar
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    Nzd/usd is on the extreme overbought side and with the current carry trade unwinding there is like ly ness of nzd/usd going back to .7600

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    Default

    Australian & New Zealand Weekly
    Week beginning 24 March 2008

    Australia: consistent message coming from recent Westpac surveys.
    RBA publishes Financial Stability Review.
    RBA Governor Stevens and RBNZ Governor Bollard speak in Sydney.
    Busy NZ data week culminates in Q4 GDP.
    Key economic & financial forecasts.
    Westpac Surveys & Indexes Consistent Message
    Westpac's recent survey and index research continues to give support to our view that interest rates have peaked but are likely to remain on hold in 2008.

    The Westpac-ACCI Survey of Industrial Trends has been released today.

    The survey shows that activity held up around December quarter levels in the March quarter. The Current Composite rose from 55.8 in December to 56.0 in March. However, expectations for the June quarter were down sharply. The fall in the Expected Composite was 9.9 points - the second largest fall since 1974.

    The other key Index measure from the Survey is the Employment Index. That Index has provided a reliable 6 month in advance (see second chart) guide to employment growth. The Index fell from 14 in December to 1 in March - the biggest fall in the Index since December 2000.

    However, labour markets are still registering as very tight. The Index of labour tightness fell from a record 43 in December to 29 in March - still the second highest read since 1974.

    Finance availability registered as the most difficult since 1982. Current growth in business lending is running at a near 30% pace. With banks unlikely to continue borrowing aggressively in the offshore capital markets at the recent excessive spreads for term funding that pace will probably slow substantially and finance is likely to tighten even further. While more difficult finance still does not register significantly as the dominant constraint to business. That situation may change as 2008 unfolds.

    That key message from the Westpac-ACCI Survey was also present in the Westpac-MI Leading Index. The latest read from the Index showed growth slowing below long term trend for the first time since November 2005.

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    Default

    NZD/USd has the same correlation with gold as Gold is the main export of the country ...

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    Default

    no need to take data for 2000 or 2005 years
    for now it`s going lower to 80-110 pips

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    Default

    As 0.8265 has capped intra-day rise, aussie's
    retreat fm there suggests a temp. top has possibly
    been formed n consolidation below there is seen
    with downside bias for pullback to 0.8200 n then
    0.8180 (Asia) but 0.8154 shud hold.

    As 0.8265 has capped intra-day rise, aussie's
    retreat fm there suggests a temp. top has possibly
    been formed n consolidation below there is seen
    with downside bias for pullback to 0.8200 n then
    0.8180 (Asia) but 0.8154 shud hold.

    Turn short on upticks with stop abv said res,
    break wud abort n extend upmove to 0.8290/00...

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    Default

    AUDJPY closed well above the open .Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies.The Hourly Oscillators are bullish but weak, so cautious approach is needed.Hourly Trend is Sideways and Daily Trend is Up, expect the price to be choppy.The patterns are not clear and choppy.

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    Default

    EUR/AUD is rising more than 250 pips after falling to an 8-month low during the Asian session. Despite the recovery the pair is still moving in a downtrend

  12. #12
    currencytrading
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    Default

    AUD/USD out look provide a brief overview of the factors currently affecting the exchange rate and the implications these have on our forecast of the aud.

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