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Thread: 进化后的技术分析。

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    Default 进化后的技术分析。

    第一,市场上并没有假突破。有些货币突破时虚晃一枪,并不是因为假,而是因为主力部队遇到了关键阻力。如果主力部队没有协同作战,那么任意的单货币都是假突破,突破都没有效。所以,从大局的角度来看,市场不存在假突破。

    第二,支撑阻力线并不是那么重要。市场有箱体形式,有斜体形式。箱体形式时,就是我们常看见的支撑阻力。当斜体形式时,支撑阻力就发生变异。不同货币在不同的时候有处于箱体,有处于斜体,于是形成各种错综复杂的支撑阻力。也就是说,支撑阻力只有一部分时间在一条直线上,还在大部分时间不处于同一条直线。所以,单纯的计算直线阻力还没有入门。支撑阻力可能出现在任何位置,重要的是市场整体的协同。风如烟曾经用谐振的物理学概念表达这一点。

    第三。市场是由人构成的。不同的人的观点组成了市场。既要了解大部分人的观点,也要了解少部分的观点。但最终,只会余下越来越少的精英留在了市场。简单的方法不可能长久生存在市场上,市场一直处于变化之中,很多老规则早已失效,市场的变化会一直持续下去,任何不进取的方法最终会随着时间的推进被淘汰。想在市场上挣钱,最重要的不是你水平怎样怎样,而是要清楚你的对手怎样怎样。从人数以讲,会有10%的人领先于90%的人。但是,人数并不是关键,钱才是关键,钱只集中在少部分人之中。那些拥有大资金的人,通常就是会盈利的人。所以,获胜的概率从人数层面上来讲可能小于1%。而从资金层面讲,获胜概率只是51%,是多数钱赢少数钱。

    第四,小资金可以赢机构。灵活性很关键,在期货市场我有论述。机构的规章制度在保障其安全的同时,也制约了其盈利。

  2. #2
    shaoyinwang
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    小资金机动灵活,杠杆高,这方面是机构大资金所不具有的优势。

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    Default

    是的,小资金有小资金的好处,要学会活学活用

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