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Thread: 要不要复利

  1. #1
    Market Maker cool user
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    Default 要不要复利

    下面是两张资金曲线图,使用完全相同的交易方法、交易次数、进出场位置、杠杆倍数,时间区间是2002-2008年。

    唯一不同的是,第一张没有使用复利模式,一直以起始资金作为基数使用杠杆;而第二张采用了复利模式,以年为单位。即次年的杠杆倍数以前一年年尾的资金额作为基数。

    结果也是不一样的:截止上一个交易日,没有采取复利模式的资金曲线,最终收于340,相对于起始资金100,7年增长240%;期间最大回撤从170至120,回撤幅度30%;

    采用复利模式的曲线,最终收于460,相对于起始资金100,7年增长360%;期间最大回撤从170至92,回撤幅度45%。

    相对于这两种不同的过程和结果,大家怎么看?是选择非复利模式下的稳定增长,低回吐风险,还是选择福利模式下的快速增长,同时面临相对较大的回吐风险?

    相对于这两种不同的过程和结果,大家怎么看?

    是选择非复利模式下的稳定增长,低回吐风险?

    还是选择福利模式下的快速增长,同时面临相对较大的回吐风险?

  2. #2
    Bullish iPHONE's Avatar
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    Default

    各有利弊,机遇与风险是并存的!最主要是技术过硬才是硬道理!

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