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Thread: 黄浦居士:美元贬值危机短期内市场还需消化

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    Post 黄浦居士:美元贬值危机短期内市场还需消化

    盘面回顾:

      各央行正在实施的"量化货币政策"引起了市场对未来再掀起货币危机的猜想,短期内对主要实施国家的货币抛压有所影响,市场有待消化发行货币所有可能引起的货币贬值的可能,鉴于美元短期趋势走低,未来的强势支撑将在80-81一线,同时非美货币近千点的涨幅证明市场已经在消化短期影响,同时近期美国市场回暖的数据以及欧洲方面的不确定性还是对美元有所支撑。预计未来走势美元走势将在82-83一线形成修正区域,确定未来美元这波强势是否真正结束。

      纽约时段,欧系货币兑美元继续扩大升势,欧元兑美元突破了1.3700整数关口,刷新2个月新高1.3736。英镑兑美元突破了1.4500整数关口,触及3周新高1.4592。

      美国周四公布的上周初请失业金人数,2月领先指标和费城联储制造业指数均好于预期,同时,美国财政部宣布融资计划,意欲帮助稳定汽车供应商。这改善了风险偏好,进一步加剧了美元的跌势。此外,美国周三扩大金融援救计划的举措仍在打压美元。但美股获利回吐,令避险情绪略微抬头,抑制了非美货币的升势。澳元兑美元突破了0.6900整数关口,创8周新高0.6942。美元兑加元跌破1.2200整数水平,创5周新低1.2192。受美元全盘跌势打压,美元兑日元跌破了94.00整数支撑,创3周新低93.55,美元兑瑞郎跌破了1.1200整数支撑,创9周新低1.1360。

      本时段,美元指数则由83.37跌至9周新低82.64。

      comex期金昨日最高上探至960美元/盎司。

      近期市场焦点
      1 继续关注股市是否有回暖的迹象打压避险货币。
      2 商品市场短期能否延续反弹对商品货币未来走势的指引,
      3 债券市场近期流动性的变化也值得关注。
      4 欧元区接近"零利率"后货币政策的主要决策方向。
      5关注美联储关于"量化货币政策"实施的具体措施后市场的反映情况

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    上周美元贬值行情确实很厉害!~!!!

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