BUY FXO Forum Shares
1316
Shares in the BANK:
We BuyWe Sell
$1.8211$1.8774
Results 1 to 8 of 8

Thread: 欧元/美元日内最高跌落330余点,瑞银后市看空至1.2850

  1. #1
    Bullish
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Posts
    55
    FXO Shares
    0
    FXO Bonus
    0.000
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Post 欧元/美元日内最高跌落330余点,瑞银后市看空至1.2850

    欧元区11月零售销售高于预期,德国零售销售亦高于预期,为欧元提供了短暂支持。但美国劳工部周五公布了非农数据,实现了"利好兑现",引发了美元的空头回补。目前市场焦点重回欧洲央行利率决定,该央行将于下周四(1月15日)公布利率决定,预期为降息25-50基点。受欧银降息预期打压,欧元/美元纽约时段基本呈现单边下跌态势。

      同时,美国财级高官周五的讲话,也为美元提供了一定支持。美国财长保尔森周五表示,美国在经济复苏方面取得进展,政府应考虑除不良资产救助计划外的手段。里奇蒙德联储主席莱克则表示,美国房市可能会在09年触底。上述讲话提振了市场对美国经济的信心,支持了美元空头回补。


      欧元/美元纽约时段开于1.3718附近,早盘汇价上探1.3750的高点后掉头单边下挫。汇价接连跌破了1.3600和1.3500整数支撑,小时图则拉出"七连阴",在7个小时内最高下跌330余点。尾盘,汇价跌至时段新低1.3413止跌企稳,之后汇价则围绕该低点持续整理跌幅,并直至收盘。

      欧元周五开于1.3696,日内高见1.3750,低见1.3413,振幅达337点,最终收于1.3427,较周四收盘价下跌275点,跌幅2.01%。

      有分析师指出,日线图显示,欧元/美元周五拉出跌幅达250余点的长阴线,跌破了周三低点1.3435,打开了短线下行空间。若有效跌破1.3435,空头目标将顺势指向1.3310,若进一步跌破,接下来汇价则可能跌向1.2330-1.4715升浪61.8%回撤位1.3240。后市汇价上方阻力见于 1.3750和1.3810,下方支撑则位于1.3415和1.3315。

      瑞银集团(ubs)周五表示,欧元区经济数据疲软,通胀加速下滑,令欧洲央行下周的降息压力上升,且之后仍存在降息空间,欧元/美元走势将因此开始显露疲态。该行建议,做空欧元/美元,获利目标指向1.2850。

      下周一将公布德国12月批发物价指数和美国12月谘商会就业趋势指数,预计将会对汇价走势提供一定指引。

  2. #2
    Market Maker
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Posts
    1,107
    FXO Shares
    0
    FXO Bonus
    0.000
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Default

    周一也许会大幅反弹

  3. #3
    Piplet
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Posts
    11
    FXO Shares
    0
    FXO Bonus
    0.000
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Default

    希望会有大反弹吧

  4. #4
    Bullish
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Posts
    55
    FXO Shares
    0
    FXO Bonus
    0.000
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Default

    哎,这些个所谓的专业机构,最喜欢忽悠老百姓啦,我也是看多欧元。

  5. #5
    In Profit
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Posts
    96
    FXO Shares
    0
    FXO Bonus
    0.000
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Default

    大家都看多,但目前稍微跌了一点点,呵呵

  6. #6
    In Profit
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Posts
    96
    FXO Shares
    0
    FXO Bonus
    0.000
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Default

    马上就要到早上了,就要开盘了,还是很期待的

  7. #7
    In Profit
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Posts
    96
    FXO Shares
    0
    FXO Bonus
    0.000
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Default

    哎,这次我就被公布的非农数据上下幅度太大搞爆仓了,苦啊

  8. #8
    Bullish
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Posts
    95
    FXO Shares
    0
    FXO Bonus
    0.000
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Default

    尽管美元已经大幅上扬了,预计非美反弹不会太大,起码在金融业不断恶化,市场对奥巴马救市方案的期待的最近期间,风险情绪依旧高涨,将继续支撑美元上扬

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
Disclaimer
2005-2017 © FXOpen All rights reserved. Various trademarks held by their respective owners.

Risk Warning:: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgment as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

FXOpen Markets Limited, a company duly registered in Nevis under the company No. C 42235. FXOpen is a member of The Financial Commission.

FXOpen AU Pty Ltd., a company authorised and regulated by the Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC). AFSL 412871ABN 61 143 678 719.

FXOpen Ltd. a company registered in England and Wales under company number 07273392 and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (previously, the Financial Services Authority) under FCA firm reference number 579202.

FXOpen does not provide services for United States residents.

Join us