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Thread: 传奇投资人罗杰斯:未来几年美元或将贬值90%

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    Default 传奇投资人罗杰斯:未来几年美元或将贬值90%

    美联储超预期降息到0.25个百分点,美元中长期走势不被看好。传奇投资人吉姆罗杰斯昨日在接受采访时表示,他打算在未来出售手中的美元,因为他相信美元近期走强是受人为操纵的影响,眼下正是转变投资标的的时候。

      罗杰斯表示,美元今年出现了一个较大的反弹,但促使其走强的原因是投资者进入到一个"强迫清算"的阶段,人们在纷纷改变投资组合。之前美元有很多看贬的预期,人们都看空美元,但现在所有人都出现美元紧缺的局面,不得不被迫清算或扭转投资部位。

      "作为美国人,虽然我讨厌这样说,但我还得承认我准备在未来几天、几个星期或几个月内抛掉所有美元,"罗杰斯表示,"我将趁着美元这波涨势退出,美元今后的走势将重复英镑当初进入长期衰退的局面。"

      "美元在我们有生之年或许都将前景暗淡,"罗杰斯预测,美元或许在未来几年中将贬值90%。

      美联储的零利率政策令投资人怀疑美元这波走强还能持续多久。昨日,美元兑欧元、英镑和日元等主要货币均大幅下挫。美元兑日元更跌至13年来低点,而美元兑欧元也紧随着跌至11周来的低点。一位驻纽约的对冲基金外汇经理表示,"应该卖掉美元,要知道零利率的政策使日本好几年都没有复苏。"

      海通证券 (600837 股吧,行情,资讯,主力买卖)高级分析师陈勇同样认为美元中长期将走弱,他对记者表示,美元先前走强是因为美元兑欧元一直处于超低水平,此外国际流动性紧缩令美元需求增加,而近期美元则出现了技术性回调,长期走势看美元将处于下行状态。

      既然不看好美元,罗杰斯对于美国股票的看法也比较负面。他举例说,"花旗、通用的基本面都已经被严重破坏了。"

      相比股票,罗杰斯一如既往地表示看好商品,因为"商品市场的基本面得以维护。"他指出农产品 (000061 股吧,行情,资讯,主力买卖)是最值得投资的领域,而黄金多头走势仍会持续数年。"我认为农业将是未来10至20年各行业的佼佼者,农产品像小麦、玉米、棉花将是全世界最热门的投资标的。"

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    Default

    技术性回调

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    Default

    未来几年?那也太快了
    我想至少十几年吧
    =======
    My trading principles:
    Follow the trend in a light positions.

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