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Thread: 短线指标中的"假动作"和"一步到位"现象

  1. #1
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    Default 短线指标中的假动作和一步到位现象

    短线指标中的假动作和一步到位现象
      
        
      一步到位现象:真正理想的短线买点必然是兵家必争之地,好的价位稍纵即逝。
      
      不作假动作:即首次出现的短线买进信号就是真的。
      
      一次假动作现象:
      
      1、首次出现短线买进信号(这次是假的);
      
      2、次日打压(假动作),迫使短线选手止损出局;
      
      3、二次出现短线买进信号(这次是真的信号)。
      
      二次假动作现象:
      
      1、首次出现短线买进信号(这次是假的);
      
      2、次日打压(假动作),迫使短线选手止损出局;
      
      3、二次出现短线买进信号(这次还是假的);
      
      4、次日再做打压(假动作),迫使短线选手止损出局;
      
      5、三次出现短线买进信号(这次是真的)。
      
      基于以上原因,短线指标公式给出的买进信号,其理论有效率不会超过50%。如果某个短线指标公式给出的买进信号有效率经测试超过了50%,可以肯定,公式的作者发现了市场某一时期出现了漏洞,而这种漏洞不会长期存在,市场会很快对此进行自我修补,所以,从长期来看,其有效率还是不会超过50%。
      
      设3日均线走平或抬高,成功的可能性是否提高?如果能滤掉一些假动作,百分比是否能提高?无论你再增加多少个限制的条件,都无法解决问题。因为从哲学的角度来看这个问题,是没有解决的办法的。
      
      我们所在的这个世界,是由阴阳组成的。有白天就会有黑夜,有男人就会有女人,有真的信号就会有假的信号。孤阴不生,孤阳不长嘛。真与假,阴与阳是手心和手背的关系,手心如果没有了,手背还会独立存在吗?
      
      如果你的建议真的管用(暂且不论市场主力刻意作骗线),就会导致大家都会在此位置购买,买多卖少,就会演变成我前面提到的一步到位的现象,即从图表上看信号有效,但实际的操作价值很低,大部分情况下都抢不到筹码的。

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    Default

    弄得很复杂
    其实怎么判断真假呢
    或许一直都是假的
    最后是主力操盘失败
    趋势转变了

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