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Thread: 交易策略

  1. #1
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    Wink 交易策略

    美元兑日圆 跌 97.10 96.00 97.80
    欧元兑美元 跌 1.2650 1.2550 1.2740
    英镑兑美元 跌 1.4970 1.4800 1.5080
    美元兑瑞郎 涨 1.1990 1.2060 1.1920
    澳元兑美元 跌 0.6520 0.6420 0.6600
    美元兑加元 涨 1.2290 1.2380 1.2200
    欧元兑日圆 跌 122.50 121.50 123.50

    汇市评论

    美元兑日圆
    尽管短期信贷市况渐稳,但各银行正努力降低支出及消化渐增的坏帐损失,除了美国第二大银行花旗集团宣布将裁员15%外,汇丰控股继9月裁员1,100人后,再次裁减亚洲员工500人,另澳洲最大投资银行麦格里亦表示,全年获利将创近17年来首度下滑,金融业持续传出利空消息及全球经济前景恶化,令市场风险厌恶情绪升高,周二亚股普遍大幅下跌,拖累美元兑日圆跌至96.03低点。日本经济财政特任大臣与谢野馨指出,景气衰退的时间恐比预期更久,2009-2010年度日本经济亦可能出现负成长,削弱日圆买气。晚间美国公布10月生产者物价指数(ppi)下跌2.8%不及预估值,但9月资本流入意外大增1,434亿美元,支撑美元兑日圆升至97.40高点。预估今日美元兑日圆压力于97.00-30,支撑于95.80-96.00。

    欧元兑美元
    金融机构裁员加深经济前景悲观的忧虑,令市场感到不安,而且全球股市疲软促使投资人避开高风险投资,转向美债寻求避险,进而支撑美元,昨日并传闻美国对冲基金及模型基金于亚洲尾盘出脱欧元,打压欧元兑美元至1.2568低点。随着美股开盘上扬带动风险喜好,支撑高收益货币,推升欧元兑美元至1.2699高点。然而,美国联邦准备理事会(fed)主席贝南克表示,美元仍是全球首选货币,其避险功能令其在金融危机之际迅速升值,使欧元兑美元从高点回落。预估今日欧元兑美元维持区间震荡,阻力于1.2650-80,支撑于1.2520-50。

    英镑兑美元
    本周英国关键数据出炉前,投资人回补英镑空头部位,周二支撑英镑延续本周的反弹气势,兑美元升至1.5093高点。随后英国公布10月消费者物价指数(cpi)及零售物价指数分别下跌0.2%及0.3%不及预期,另英国央行货币政策委员会委员贝斯利表示,商品价格下滑意味英国通膨可能降至目标水平下方,使投资人押注英国央行将持续减息以提振经济,令英镑兑美元回吐至1.4902低点。市场关注今日公布的英国央行利率政策会议记录,预估今日英镑兑美元压力于1.4960-80,支撑于1.4800附近。
    不汇就学海军

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    尽量做eud/usd,点差小,没毛刺

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