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Thread: a signal for nzdusd

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    Default a signal for nzdusd

    buy from =0.7610 take profit=0.7640 stoplose=0.7580

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    Quote Originally Posted by sheva View Post
    buy from =0.7610 take profit=0.7640 stoplose=0.7580
    its stoplose

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    buy from 0.7530 takeprofit 0.7580 stoplose 0.7490

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    A net 24.9% of businesses surveyed in December expect business conditions to worsen over the next 12 months, compared with a net 20% in November, according to the National Bank of New Zealand's Business Outlook survey.

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    Australian & New Zealand Weekly
    Week beginning 24 March 2008

    Australia: consistent message coming from recent Westpac surveys.
    RBA publishes Financial Stability Review.
    RBA Governor Stevens and RBNZ Governor Bollard speak in Sydney.
    Busy NZ data week culminates in Q4 GDP.
    Key economic & financial forecasts.
    Westpac Surveys & Indexes Consistent Message
    Westpac's recent survey and index research continues to give support to our view that interest rates have peaked but are likely to remain on hold in 2008.

    The Westpac-ACCI Survey of Industrial Trends has been released today.

    The survey shows that activity held up around December quarter levels in the March quarter. The Current Composite rose from 55.8 in December to 56.0 in March. However, expectations for the June quarter were down sharply. The fall in the Expected Composite was 9.9 points - the second largest fall since 1974.

    The other key Index measure from the Survey is the Employment Index. That Index has provided a reliable 6 month in advance (see second chart) guide to employment growth. The Index fell from 14 in December to 1 in March - the biggest fall in the Index since December 2000.

    However, labour markets are still registering as very tight. The Index of labour tightness fell from a record 43 in December to 29 in March - still the second highest read since 1974.

    Finance availability registered as the most difficult since 1982. Current growth in business lending is running at a near 30% pace. With banks unlikely to continue borrowing aggressively in the offshore capital markets at the recent excessive spreads for term funding that pace will probably slow substantially and finance is likely to tighten even further. While more difficult finance still does not register significantly as the dominant constraint to business. That situation may change as 2008 unfolds.

    That key message from the Westpac-ACCI Survey was also present in the Westpac-MI Leading Index. The latest read from the Index showed growth slowing below long term trend for the first time since November 2005.

    Growth in the Index slowed from 6.3% in November 2007 to 4.1% in January 2008. Around 1 percentage point of the 2.2 percentage points reduction was due to the collapse in the Australian share market, with a point due to a slowdown in overtime worked.

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    Default

    Despite the retreat fm y'day's 0.6565 high, as
    long as 0.6420/30 holds, recent upmove shud resume
    for a re-test of said res n then 0.6600.

    Trade fm long side with stop as indicated, below
    wud abort n risk stronger retracement to 0.6363...

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