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Thread: 把握"头肩顶"的良机

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    Default 把握头肩顶的良机

    作为涨势与跌势的转折点,头肩顶是比较可靠的下跌信号。弄清头肩顶的形成规律、形态特点及相应买卖策略,不仅可以把握重要的卖空良机,而且,在相反情况下,也可根据倒头肩底的上升信号,抓到明朗的多头机会。

    所谓头肩顶是这样形成的:承接前一阶段的涨势,走势升至a点开始回落;跌至b点得以站稳;又是一轮升势,超越a点价位,以c点为该升浪的顶,然后又回跌,滑至与b点差不多的水平,在d点站住,又回头向上,升至与a点相差不大的价位,在e点止步,接着就掉头下挫,当跌破b与d两个低点拉成的颈线,整个下跌趋势就形成了。这样一幅图形,三个高点,中间最高,恰似一个人的头,两侧较低,好比两个肩膀,所以按形象称为头肩顶。

    第一,头肩顶是在升势中产生的。当右肩未出现时,光看左肩和头,却是一浪高一浪的涨势。即使在左肩买入,到头顶的价位,仍是形势大好;

    第二,从头顶回落,掉头再上,至与左肩相近的价位后再急转直下,右肩就成形了。这时,在一头两肩区域买入的合约变得无利可图巨出现浮动损失;

    第三,走势跌破颈线时,因为整个头肩顶是以颈线为底的,破了颈线,头肩顶区域的所有多头合约均被一网打尽,无一幸免。空头乘势落井下石,多头纷纷止损认赔,令跌势加剧。

    一个头肩顶的形成,是为一次大跌势打基础。由于一场大战役,策划需时,一般需要一个半月左右,将近四十个交易天才可以孕育成型。而跌幅至少相当于由头顶至颈线的距离。

    当左肩和头出来后,如果我们怀疑可能是一个头肩顶,可以去做空头。但要设限止损,升破头顶就投降。因为已证明是一浪高一浪的升势,根本不是什么头肩顶。当右肩成型尚未破颈线时;我们亦可估计走势会破线而抢先去卖空,但亦要设限,回头升破右肩的顶部就止损离场,因为发展至此,已表明走势并非是真正的头肩顶,只是一个引人做空头的假动作。 这陷阱可别遇上!

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    头肩顶是比较可靠的下跌信号。

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    头肩顶是比较可靠的下跌信号。

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    是个好信号

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