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Thread: 摩根大通:美元兑日元长期走势看跌

  1. #1
    Elder Analyst yes810's Avatar
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    Default 摩根大通:美元兑日元长期走势看跌

    2008年10月17日 08:27 环球外汇网



      摩根大通银行在一份报告中写到,虽然周五亚市早盘美元兑日元横盘整理于隔夜纽约时段收盘水平附近,但是汇价长期走势偏于下行。因此,若美元兑日元涨至102.00以上,将是良好的卖盘机会。该行补充道,近期美国经济数据恶化,暗示美国经济放缓程度加深,因此股市的反弹可能难以为继。

      若市场考虑到美联储将进一步降息,那么将打压美元兑日元下滑。摩根大通预期,美联储(fed)今年将降息至0.75%,目前为1.5%。

      预计今天日本股市在纽约股市前夜攀升后也将走高,因此美元兑日元很可能上涨。这些天来外汇市场只受到股市走势的影响,因而在股市上升时美元也同样上扬。预计美元兑日元波动区间为101-102。

      美元兑日元难以突破102,因为交易者仍怀疑股市能否持续走高,而且一些交易者也把资金投入了具有避风港作用的日元中。另外,预计欧元兑美元波动区间在1.3400-1.3550。欧元兑日元波动区间在136.00-137.00。

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    Bullish eur88's Avatar
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    美日到现在100大关,有强支撑

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