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Thread: 摩根大通:美元兌日元本月可能跌至95.77

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    Default 摩根大通:美元兌日元本月可能跌至95.77

    摩根大通銀行(JPMorgan Chase)首席策略師Tohru Sasaki表示,本月美元/日元可能將跌至年度低點95.77。

    他表示,各大政府宣布注資帶來的利好效應退散之後,股市將下跌是意料之中的事。但他認為未來2周左右各大股指有望企穩,目前振幅過大、波動過快。

    Sasaki說道,"不知道現在各國政府對阻止股市下跌還有什麼好辦法,根據以往日本的經驗來看,只能聽之任之。股價將繼續下跌,而且可能有更多倒閉出現。"

    周四早盤,日經指數開盤下跌146.5點,目前跌幅已擴大至930.5點。

    Sasaki認為,銀行合並和國有化的進程將繼續下去,直到危機結束,而這可能將花費幾個月。投資者目前已經將目光回到歐元區經濟數據上,而這些數據可能將維持疲軟,這也有助于日元上揚。

    他還預計,美元/日元年內將跌向80.00,但不可能跌破該水平。

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    这种分析对大机构对冲套利有作用,但对小汇民没有多大的帮助,短线交易仍是主流

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    我看机
    会不大,日元上涨利空日本出口商

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