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Thread: 外汇图表的行为特性

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    Default 外汇图表的行为特性

     外汇市场价位的变动,按时间的不同,可以分为即时图(tick chart)、分钟图、小时图、日线图、周线图和月线图等,不同的走势图有其独特的行为特性,不掌握这些特性,技术分析的工具就失去了意义。

      许多投资人做单都习惯于看着即时图来做,即时图一动,就跳进场,也有人按事先计划好的价位买入后,即时图迅续下跌,便匆忙砍单,这都是不懂即时图特性的表现。即时图的主要作用,仅在于精确记录价位,它的走势方向,随时都会改变。在正常情况下,即时图的波动都比较小。

      外汇价位的变化,基本上是波浪起伏的,在上升的大浪中,会有许多下跌的小浪参错其间。因此,小时图基本呈涨势时,5分钟图的价位可能在下跌,而即时图在5分钟内可能会涨跌许多次,因此,有经验的投资人不会让自己被即时图牵着走。有些投资人在按计划下单后,还有意识地避免看即时图,以免干扰情绪。

      在对即时图作细致研究后,可以发现它除了有精确易变的特点外,还有敏感的特性。比如当德国马克的交叉盘汇率强于英镑时,投资人手中持有买英镑的单子,当英镑价位上升遇到阻力点时,投资人或可参考马克的即时图,因为马克较强,它的即时图可能率先冲破阻力点,这时英镑的买单就可以不必急于平仓了。

      此外,当按照计划进单,可是阻力点价位没找准,已有几十点损失时,可密切观察即时图,价位如有新的突破,即宜考虑砍掉亏损单。

      比起敏感多变的即时图来,5分钟图显得沉着多了,5分钟图的特点是对阻力点、支撑点的价位比较敏感,适宜于抓准进单、出单的时机。

      严格地说,技术分析的很多方法用在5分钟图上,其可靠性都要打一个很大的折扣,因为5分钟图的特点仅仅是对阻力点、支撑点反应灵敏,而它的起伏变化通常没有走势方向的含意。仅仅依靠5分钟图找出的阻力点,强度通常也不大。

      大多数投资者都习惯于做短线,特别是当天收市前就平仓的短线操作。对这类投资者来说,他们最佳的做单工具不是即时图、5分钟图,而是15分钟图、小时图。

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    可将汇率的行情走势分为筑底、上升、筑头和下跌四个阶段。

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    做短线,他们最佳的做单工 具是15分钟图、小时图。
    将汇率的行情走势分为筑底、上升、筑头和下跌四个阶段。
    每个阶段有每个阶段的特征 细心观察 顺势操作

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    30分钟图比较好,短线赢利快。

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    各个周期配合使用效果比使用单周期好

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