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Thread: 空头回补可能促使英镑上扬

  1. #1
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    Default 空头回补可能促使英镑上扬

    空头回补可能促使英镑上扬




    英 国经济陷入衰退的担忧引发了英镑的全盘跌势,上周英镑创下至少10年来的最大单周跌幅,也是英镑/美元连续第七周下跌,少有投资者尝试抓底。然而,我们认 为,极度看跌的英镑情绪正是汇价短期反弹所需要的。近期的期货头寸变化显示,英镑净空头达到历史低点,这对于英镑的反弹而言,只是个时间问题,不过具体的 时间点还需要英国短期的基本面发展情况而定。未来一周的英国经济数据不大可能足以引发英镑的大幅波动,但是极度看淡的英国经济前景意味着,任何经济有所改 善的迹象都可能引发短期的英镑反弹。周一将公布英国PPI,这可能改变英国央行的利率预期,一定程度上也将影响英镑。利率投资者现在消化央行在下次利率会 议上减息的40%的可能性,但是若PPI高于预期,无疑将打压货币政策趋于宽松的预期。周二早晨将公布BRC的国内零售销售数据和工业生产,数据若出现任 何上涨的迹象都可能促使英镑走高。无论本周数据结果如何,预期英镑将出现振荡的区间走势,英镑/美元1周的隐含波动率处于极高水平

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    暂时看,美元是弱,所以其他货币有走强的可能!

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    不太正常,观望中。。。。

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    英傍会涨的,实盘的可以做一下

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