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Thread: 美元:恢复强势格局

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    Default 美元:恢复强势格局

    美元经过短暂的整理后又恢复强势格局,美元指数突破80.00大关,最高上涨到80.21。欧元/美元跌破1.4000后最低下跌到1.3950左右;英镑/美元再一次回落到1.7470左右的支持,现在有所反弹。雷曼兄弟周三公布的盈利报告称其第三季度裁员1500人,同时预计第三季度每股亏损5.92美元,此前预期为亏损3.43美元。数据表明该投行受金融危机影响深重,导致投资者对金融业的忧虑升温令市场规避情绪上扬,套息交易平仓活跃。

    美元也一度受到此消息的打压有所回落,但非美货币的反弹也是昙花一现,随后又步入下跌的征途。近期风险厌恶情绪上升,推动资金回流到美国市场,对美元的强势形成支撑。昨天国际市场商品价格全线走软,也推动了美元的上涨,纽约原油期货最低下跌到101.36美元/桶,黄金现货最低下跌到752.50美元/盎司。昨天美国三大股市保持小幅反弹的格局,道琼斯指数收盘在11268.92点,收盘上涨了37.86点。今天早上纽元降息50个基点,对未来的商品货币的走势来说,无疑又形成了持续的压力,世界大宗商品的调整还会继续下去,美元的强势同样会继续得以保持。

    近期有经济数据显示,英国经济陷入衰退的风险逐步加大,且金融市场预计未来英国央行将降息175基点的预期,继续对英镑形成打击。据英国统计局昨天公布的数据显示,英国7月份商品贸易赤字由6月向上修正后的79.93亿英镑缩小至76.67亿英镑,之前经济学家的预期为75亿英镑;以及公布的英国7月份对非欧盟国家贸赤为47.26亿英镑, 接近6月份的47.74亿, 高於市场预期的45.5亿;英国7月份石油赤字则由6月份的7.47亿英镑, 升至破纪录的13.16亿 5-7月份石油赤字亦创新高。

    昨天欧元集团主席容克表示,欧元区经济并不存在衰退风险,但可能出现技术性衰退,并且经济放缓程度可能较预期更加严重。预期欧元将保持强劲,但若欧元下滑也会带来一些积极影响。同时,欧元汇率尚未回到正常水平,但是汇率的剧烈波动也将对欧元区经济造成不利影响,在通胀方面,他认为欧元区通胀可能已经于7月份触顶。

    昨天雷曼兄弟公布的盈利报告称,其第三季度裁员1500人,同时预计第三季度每股亏损5.92美元,此前预期为亏损3.43美元。这一数据表明,该投行受金融危机影响深重,导致投资者对金融业的忧虑升温令市场规避情绪上扬。但一些分析师也表示,雷曼兄弟的业绩会对全球市场产生影响,而欧元仍对有关欧元区经济面临衰退的担忧较为敏感,受欧元区经济增长放缓,欧洲央行未来可能降息担忧打压,欧元在过去一个月来一直呈单边下跌趋势。

    来自:逍遥

  2. #2
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    Default

    同意,美圆最近比较强,今天突破拉80大关!

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    Default

    和大选有关吧?

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    Default

    同意,美圆最近比较

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