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Thread: 本周非农能否再助美元一臂之力吗

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    Default 本周非农能否再助美元一臂之力吗

    本周非农能否再助美元一臂之力吗?




    上 周美国的事件风险无疑增加了市场波动和美元可能突破近期盘整区间的几率。从房地产市场来看,7月成屋和新屋销售有企稳迹象、6月S&P/CS房价 指数显示房价跌势有所放缓。从制造业来看,远高于预期的7月耐用品订单以 及8月芝加哥采购经理人指数预示着下周8月ISM制造业指数将可能强劲。最近商品价格下跌,一定程度上提振了美国消费者的信心,8月消费者信心以及密歇根 大学消费者信心指数均录得多月来高点。第二季度GDP意外向上修正暂缓了市场对美国经济衰退的担忧,且美联储会议纪要显示委员们均一致预期下次利率决议可 能加息,美元再次上扬。然而,占美国经济三分之二的个人消费支出仅增长0.2%,突显美国人仍很担心就业和持续下滑的房屋价格。本周美国将公布部分重要的 一线数据,包括ISM制造业指数和非农就业报告。若后者如预期连续第八个月录得负值,那么毫无疑问市场将重新评估美国今年下半年的经济展望。若经济前景变 得黯淡,预期美联储将采取加息政策。本周一是美国劳动节,市场休市,但预期长假过后市场流动性和交易活动将大幅增长。值得留意的是,美元仍继续面临热带风 暴Gustav和银行业可能亏损的利淡消息的打压。技术面,月图美元指数创下单月最大涨幅,周图和日图仍看涨,尽管日图仍超买。关键阻力在 85.39-70.67跌浪的50%回档78.01。近期盘整区间在76.00-77.65,若回调,预期5周均线76.85和38.2%回档76.30 将提供强劲支持。

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    Default

    这是空美还是多美呀

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