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Thread: 建议大家空仓了

  1. #1
    Bullish whb19640717's Avatar
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    Default 建议大家空仓了

    汇市分析:今日将公布欧洲央行和英国央行利率决议,目前市场预期两央行可能都维持利率不变,英国近来经济表现不佳,英镑受市场对英国经济衰退的担忧,连续暴跌,昨日公布的Nationwide消费者信心指数也创下了2004年5月开始记录以来的最低点,8月份CIPS服务业PMI由7月份的47.4升至49.2,好于市场预期,英镑在跌至1.7660后启稳反弹,考虑晚间利率决议,空头开始了结部分头寸,从英国此前公布的数据来看,有考虑降息的可能,而目前英国通胀仍处于自97年以来的记录高位4.4%,远高于英央行的目标2%,因此短期可能维持利率不变,在通胀回落后,则有降息可能,后期将关注英国CPI变化情况,晚间的重点应该是特里谢的讲话,从昨日公布的欧元区数据来看,欧元区7月零售销售下降0.4%,不及市场预期的上升0.1%,欧元区企业投资下滑1.2%,为5年来首次下降,而欧元区第二季度GDP修正后季率为下降0.2%,为欧元区成立以来首次出现经济萎缩,若特里谢再次表达对欧元区经济增长的担忧,欧元则将快速下跌,下档支持在1.4300,短期上档压力位在1.4620,英镑走势参考欧元表现,澳元在周二降息了25基点,昨日公布的澳洲第二季度GDP季率增长0.3%,低于市场预期的增长0.4%,年率上升2.7%,也低于市场预计的增长2.9%,澳大利亚第二季度经济增长速度放缓至2年来最低水平,数据也证实了澳联储降息25个基点的必要性,目前澳州消费者支出下滑、商业信心低迷、股市下跌为澳洲央行进一步降息打开了空间,因此澳元中线回落,澳元昨日在跌至0.8220后跟随欧元反弹,后期走势也将参照欧元的表现,上档压力位在0.8480,下档支撑位在0.8000,昨晚加拿大央行宣布维持利率3%不变,会后声明中性,基本排除了近期降息的可能,因此加元快速上涨,短期目标位在1.0400。

    (和讯财经原创)

  2. #2
    Bullish whb19640717's Avatar
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    Default

    猜得中故事的开头猜不中故事的结尾,连紫霞仙子都感叹如此,对于眼下的行情也无法多言。所有关于重要人物名人名言的分析、所有关于日后经济走势的揣测都是瞎掰!这会儿就是六亲不认的行情,然后肯定会有幅度不小的反弹,就是这样。

    大家都预测澳元会下跌,不过没有想到会跌这么厉害,现在大家又都迷茫了,澳元何去何从呢

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