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Thread: 要下决心研究的k线--转帖

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    Default 要下决心研究的k线--转帖

     看过我所谓炒汇秘诀的人可能对下面这句话琢磨不透:先看大趋势,再想基本面;人气不骗人,题材来回变;只要看不懂,分析日k线。实际上这句话的核心是:当所有的趋势、数据、人气分析完成之后,在下决心前,必须研究日k线、周k 线。而在其他条件不能提供指引,或方向感不强时,也,必须研究日k线、周k 线。现在,就到了我们必须研究日k线、周k 线的时候了。这次非美,特别是欧系货币的龙头是英镑,英镑在一路攻城拔寨中突破了重重阻力位,创造了连续2天升幅250点以上的奇迹。但是,就在投资者不知所措时,它在18480附近噶然而止了。我们分析一下这个位置,原来它是英镑下降通道的上轨,也是半年线和年线的双重压力位下沿。这个位置被突破,美元保卫战的战线将彻底崩盘。美元会不会崩盘?如果说,没有飓风来袭时,美元有可能崩盘的话(如战争和双赤字),而当飓风确实造成巨大影响的时候,美元反而不能崩盘。这个道理很简单:全世界不能同意美元突然完蛋。就象飓风之后全世界共同参与的石油价格保卫战一样,在突发事件到来时,也是政府干预最容易出现时。而全世界发达国家若一起干预,美元是不会大跌的,即使飓风的确造成巨大损失。

      书归正转,既然确认美元在重要支撑位获得支撑,剩下的分析就是2条:非美特别是欧系货币在目前的顶部能徘徊几天;美元对欧系货币的反弹什么时候发生及反弹的力度。昨天我分析,欧元当天的顶部在12550,今天应该在12500。这样的话在日k线上就摆出了3支小乌鸦,也既我们常说的死亡之线。这3支小乌鸦如果出现,欧系货币无论将来会不会做双头,结论都是下跌,而且会加速。再分析重要的参照物欧元兑日元在昨天反弹中,果然在136.9止步,这也是欧系货币的不祥之兆。大家一定记得我经常说:欧元兑日元非常顽强,经常为我们提供看得很清楚的高抛低吸机会。而这此欧元兑日元是见顶了,昨天的红线已经出现压力。我仍然预计,欧系货币将在欧元兑日元的带领下继续下跌,目标位比我以前预测的抬高300点因为有飓风因素。这样一来,大家会比较放心,今年不会出现象去年或今年初那样的极端单边的行情,适合我们在比较宽的区间内高抛低吸。当然,仍然要控制仓位,注意风险。而最好最省事的办法就是做交叉盘。

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    线大家都看,所以大家都在骗线,不是吗,所以依线操作,肯定不行

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    不能依据常理来做,要有自己独特的判断

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    Quote Originally Posted by whb19640717 View Post
    线大家都看,所以大家都在骗线,不是吗,所以依线操作,肯定不行
    以此类推,没有可以用的

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    都是一条线,但是每个人都会有不同的看法

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    Quote Originally Posted by whb19640717 View Post
    线大家都看,所以大家都在骗线,不是吗,所以依线操作,肯定不行
    正因为这种想法的人存在不少,所以还是管些用得

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