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Thread: 今日概述(9.3)

  1. #1
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    Default 今日概述(9.3)

    美元指数:
    美元大致持稳78水平整理,即时美元再展升势,急速拉升至78.55,至近11个月高点。市场对美国经济可能先于欧日经济体更快复苏,以及美元近期强势,均助推美元继续上行

    人民币:
    人民币兑美元低开39点,保持近期在汇改以来高点下方震荡的格局。昨日美元在震荡中扩大升势,至10个月高点,令人民币兑美元继续温和回调。

    美元日元:

    日本首相突然辞职仍在市场的议论之中,受此影响,日元兑主要货币下滑,但是摩根大通的首席策略师表示,日本首相的突然辞职可能只会使日元短线走软,并不会进一步产生影响,并认为,"根据以往的经历,任何首相辞职都有不同原因,但是辞职却不能改变美元/日元中长期下跌的局面。"

    美元瑞郎:
    瑞士公布8月cpi月降0.3%年升2.9%,2季度gdp季升0.4%年升2.3%,高于预期,显示瑞士经济较为稳健,主要是得到较强消费和低失业率支持,瑞士央行官员讲话暗示将维持利率不变,未来可能更为关注经济增速放缓。

    美元加元:
    加元跟随油气价走疲初步评估飓风古斯塔夫对美国墨西哥湾的美国主要产油设施影响轻微。在飓风古斯塔夫过后,市场焦点更关注全球能源需求放缓,这些不利加元。

    澳元美元:
    澳元兑美元再度下滑,至昨日创下的近1年新低附近企稳。早间澳公布2季度gdp显示经济较快放缓,若澳大利亚经济疲弱,将支持澳央行后续降息,不利于澳元反弹。

    英镑美元:
    昨日英镑兑美元大幅下挫至28个月新低,此后于该位之上震荡整理,亚市盘中延续该走势。由于美元强势上行,市场关注点仍在英国经济疲软上,英镑迄今反弹乏力。汇价短线维持均线之下仍倾向下探。

    欧元美元:
    今晚欧元区数据多且重要,风险大大大,市场预期经济下行,而且现还美元保持强势,黄金原油还有下行空间,有可能下行至1.4300价位,市场预计欧央行9月4日会议维持基准利率不变,但未来欧央行政策路线更让人关注。多数人认为欧央行迟早会实施宽松货币政策。

    纽元美元:
    西兰经济研究机构称,纽西兰经济第四季度预计将再次实现增长,但由于通胀压力仍然较大,降息幅度可能较小。
    因出于避险心理投资者避开高收益货币,另外美元兑一篮子主要货币涨至2008年最高水准也打压纽元。澳洲央行如预期般降息25个基点,但未明显暗示继续降息的可能性,鉴于澳央行没有选择大幅降息,纽西兰央行本月的利率决定可能也将小心行事,估计亦只会降息25个基点。
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  2. #2
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