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Thread: 为什么90%的交易者会失败?

  1. #1
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    Default 为什么90%的交易者会失败?

    据说,统计结果表明,90%的交易者处在亏损状态下,5-7%的交易者持平,而只有3-5%的交易者能够持续盈利。

      那么,为什么会这样呢?

      最近一段时间,我对交易心理很感兴趣。所以,我想从交易过程的心理变化,结合自己的失败经验,说说自己的心得体会。

      据国外心理学的研究,认为人从根本上讲,都是分裂的人。呵呵,这么听起来有点吓人啊!都是精神分裂吗?不是这个意思。而是因为,人的大脑,有两个半球,其中一个处理信息,另外一个处理情绪。简单点说,一个理性的处理各种现象,一个则情绪化的处理包括价值观在内的问题。

      而且,关键的在于:这两个半球的工作是在同时运行的。

      所以,从根本上说,每个人都有两个我。一个是理性的,一个是情绪化的。

    最简单的举几个例子就很清楚了。比如,我们常常听到这样的话:我想戒烟,可是戒不掉啊!我想戒酒,可是又喝上了!我想减肥,可是无法坚持啊!等等,诸如此类,都说明人有两个。一个会非常理智的说:我应该这样做,因为什么什么理由;如果这样,我就如此这般;如果那样,我就这样应对。而另外一个,考虑的就复杂了,他是从价值评估的角度看问题:这样太累了,何必亏待自己呢?我太棒了,已经持续减肥5天了;我太糟糕了,总是做不好;今天是世界杯,破例一回,喝酒庆祝吧。等等。外汇交易

      联系到交易过程,我们的表现也是一样的。

  2. #2
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    因为心太急和心有贪欲

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    主要是没设止损

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    主要是没有自己固定的交易原则,并希望靠死抗能够一夜暴富

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    就算是每个人都是理性的,成功率是50%,其实由于存在手续费佣金等支出成本,一群人博弈到最后肯定是只有少数人大赢,绝大多数人亏的情况。

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    就因为是人,感情太丰富了,无法完全按程式操作.

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    每次交易我们都无法确定是正确状态还是错误状态,即便盈利了,我们也难以决定是立即出场还是持有

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    主要是不能及时的认赔出局,这才是失败的主要原因

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    是理智和情感的较量

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    犹豫和贪婪是人性的弱点。

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    失败的主要原因是不能及时的认赔出局。

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    每个人都有两个我。一个是理性的,一个是情绪化的。

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