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Thread: 28日市场回顾

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    Default 28日市场回顾

    市场回顾

      昨日,外汇市场中各大非美货币冲高后回落,近期美元面对各种不利消息所展现出的抗跌性已越来越强,就连近期全球避险情绪的急剧升温都未能导致美元大幅走低.昨天美国商务部公布了美国7月份季调后新屋销售月率增长2.4%,折合成年率为51.5万户,预期为52万户,尽管这一数据表明美国房产市场仍然疲软,但公布的美国7月份耐用品订单数则意外增长1.3%,数据则表明美国制造业好转,从而增强了市场对美国经济的乐观预期. 有分析师指出,美元目前涨势尚未结束,特别是美元/欧元,尽管很多不利数据影响着美元,但是欧洲区的数据更加疲软, 很有可能冲至1.4300目标位.

      美国股市,昨日走高,道琼斯工业股票平均价格指数涨89.64点,至11502.51点,涨幅0.79%,盘中最高上涨了142点.纳斯达克综合指数涨20.49点,至2382.46点,涨幅0.87%.国际原油价格昨日升温,因受到热带风暴Gustav仍有可能进入墨西哥湾,同时该热带风暴可能升级为飓风的影响.原油期货结算价涨1.88美元,至118.15美元/桶,涨幅1.6%.受到油价上涨的推动,昨日,国际期货黄金价格攀升,上涨5.90美元,至每盎司834美元.

      昨天德国公布了8月份CPI年率从7月的3.3%降至3.1%,打压汇价跌破1.4700.但强于预期的美国CPI数据,对此,欧央行理事表示,市场对欧央行今年维持利率不变的预期很大程度符合欧央行的想法,且韦伯也表示减息时机尚未成熟.同时,昨天英国第五大银行公布了收益报告,即帝国商业银行宣布第三季度利润下降91%,这与去年同期该银行的8.35亿加元利润报告形成了鲜明的对比,显示出次贷危机仍在打压加拿大银行业,更可见次贷危机并未在市场中消失.美元经过最近几周的上涨之后,出现一些回调是可以理解的.市场将关注修正后的美国第二季度国内生产总值增长数据.经济学家们预计,美国第二季度GDP增长2.7%,初步数据为1.9%.

      目前来看,美元依然有较为强劲的上行空间,现在正处于一个调整的阶段,市场上的投资者还是可以逢低做多美元.

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    Default

    今日展望

      各大货币的走势空间

      欧元 受到国际原油价格收高的影响,欧元昨日出现上扬.预计今日波动空间在1.4610-1.4850之间。

      日元 昨日美元因国内不良数据的影响,尽管股市收高,但是日元还是出现了小幅度上涨.预计今日波动空间在109.00-111.05之间.

      英镑 受到糟糕的国内经济数据影响,昨日英镑继续下跌.预计今日波动空间在1.8270-1.8365之间。

      澳元 澳元昨日小幅度攀升.预计今日波动空间在0.8555-0.8725之间.

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