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Thread: 8月22日晚盘外汇分析

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    Default 8月22日晚盘外汇分析

    今天晚间的伯南克的讲话是重中之重,市场对这个美联储主席的讲话是强硬还是软弱是关注的焦点,以往伯南克的软弱并没有对美元产生有利的因素,上次对美国金融市场的规范,对房利美和房贷美的股价禁止市场大量抛售这两只股票的政策,对美元的反弹有一定的支持。而今晚伯南克再一次站到演讲台,发表他的演说,这次讲话是否会对市场有明显的指引,我们期待晚间他对美国经济发表的演说。

    技术分析:



    Eur/usd

    欧洲央行周五公布的数据显示,因为进口增加,而海外投资收入减少,欧元区6月经常帐赤字扩大为82亿欧元,高于5月的55亿欧元。欧元区商品贸易赤字缩窄,但服务贸易盈余减少。出口和进口都有增长,欧元区6月商品贸易赤字缩窄至20亿欧元,低于5月的22亿欧元。这表明,欧元在二季度经济开始处于下滑。也表明欧元区需要进一步控制通胀,维持本国经济发展。



    今天我个人观点:



    1.1.4820支撑位能否站稳

    2.欧元如果在1.4820支撑住,做多欧元,目标1.4920和1.5000

    3.如果1.4820下破,汇价有可能跌至周二低点1.4630



    Gbp/usd



    英国周五公布数据显示,英国第2季度gdp增速下修为0, 此前初值为增长0.2%。随后英镑大幅度下跌到1.8572附近。德意志银行的经济学家表示,目前英国经济处于衰退中。该行的经济学家指出,数据显示2季度gdp进一步恶化,产出很可能在收缩,而这种情况预计将持续至第4季度。

    今天我个人观点:

    1.今天英镑跌幅比较大,看是否会跌到1.8510支撑位

    2.短线英镑如果不下坡1.8510 ,可以选择做多英镑



    Usd/jpy



    日本财政部门周五表示,目前日本发行国債的方案得不到市场的认同,这个计划也对日本经济进一步发展有所影响,在各个大臣呼吁声下,将在下周最终推出该计划。日本的经济放缓负债额为恶850万亿日元,为了防止经济的衰退,日本开始刺激经济的措施。

    今天我个人观点:

    1.短期日元有所回升,看到109.70

    2.109.70阻力位,可在109.70附近寻求空单,目标108.40



    今日外汇市场数据:



    8月22日星期五



    22:00 美国 美联储主席贝南克讲话

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    Default

    近二日在关注你发的贴,不错。

  3. #3
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    Default

    下周看空美元

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