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Thread: 聚焦房屋数据 美元或将短暂进入回归通道

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    Default 聚焦房屋数据 美元或将短暂进入回归通道

    隔夜时段,美元在经历周五纽约盘的获利回吐后,于昨晚再显强势,美指冲上77高位,至今早日亚洲早盘,美指温和下行再次寻找落脚点。昨日房利美、房地美自美国证监会限空令失效后,二度领跌美金融类股,风险情绪为日元注入充足上行动力,直盘走势与其它非美出现分化,同时在交叉盘凸现强势。原油价格方面,由于墨西哥湾飓风影响进一步弱化,打压油价试探下方112的支撑,暗示美元最后的隐性屏障牢不可破。今日市场所担忧的美7月新屋开工及营建许可或将把房市的疲弱面再次呈现出来,有统计报告称该组数据预计将是16年来最差;故美元的短暂理性回归可能无法避免。



    英镑、欧元简要分析:



    英镑:最新的righemove房价指数同比下滑4.8个百分点,跌幅为该指标制定以来最低;有分析报告指出,自07年信贷环境恶化以来,英国的产权价值一路下滑,主要原因在于抵押率的上升以及越来越严格的借贷标准。英国货币政策委员会(MPC)成员David Blanchflower数次坚持投降息票的原始依据就在于此;明日英国央行将公布8月议息会议的纪要,最大看点在于MPC 9人阵营中是否有人的观点较上次有所改变,从而对英镑后续走势进行修正。微幅修复性上扬为英镑短线主要基调。



    欧元:欧元区一成不变的惨淡经济面已让投资者感到了些许疲劳;昨日公布的6月季调后贸易帐报-30亿欧元,为两年来最严重的赤字。其原因有两点:欧元6月的过分强势刺伤出口,以及高油价造成的能源类产品进口价格急剧攀升。欧元短线指引来自今日的一组德国ZEW经济指数;由于悲观气氛笼罩欧元区经济已是不争的事实,故该组数据的公布或将使欧元进一步承压。



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    Default

    今晚美元我予侧下跌

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    微幅修复性上扬为英镑短线主要基调

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