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Thread: 如何对抗追涨杀跌

  1. #1
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    Default 如何对抗追涨杀跌

    追涨杀跌乃是一般投资人的投资习惯。看到股票、债券等证券价格上涨,就忍不住要跟风买入;而证券下跌之后,就认为自己判定失误,亏损也要抛出。在一个单边的市场中,追涨杀跌虽可获利,但需要准确地判定大盘走势。假如接了上涨过程中的最后一棒,或是在底部反转前一刻抛出,或是在一个震荡的走势中,追涨杀跌则可能使投资人损失惨重。

      想避免追涨杀跌带来的风险,我们需要更多地关注资产配置。每个投资人可根据自己所要求的投资回报、所能承受的风险、投资时间、对流动性的需求等进行资产配置,选择适合自己的资产类别及确定各类别的份额,并根据资本市场的变化及投资人情况的变化,及时进行调整。由于各资产类别之间的表现不尽相同,资产配置将降低投资人整体投资组合的风险。比如说,债券,尤其是高等级的债券(国债等),与股票的联动性较小,甚至是反向联动。假如投资人同时持有这两类资产,则有助于抵消整体风险。如当投资人信心较低时,资金会从股市撤离,造成股价回落,但同时,资金会涌向国债等较安全的投资工具,造成国债价格上扬。投资人在股市上的损失可以部分地从债市上获得弥补。

      另外一个避免追涨杀跌的办法是分散入市时点。选择入市时间对投资业绩表现是非常重要的。可是,实证研究证实,猜测入市时间是非常困难的,即使对投资专业人士来说也是这样。所以,长期而言,保持资产配置比例胜过持股不动,而静态地持股不动,又胜过追高杀低。对个人投资者而言,一个简单的办法是通过分散入市时点来分散择时的风险。例如,可以每月储蓄1000元购买证券资产(假如认为麻烦,也可以每两月或每季度购买),这种方法对刚工作的年青人或是证券市场上的新手非凡适用。不过,随着投资时间延长,投资人的资产总额不断上升,假如仍保持每月投资1000元,相对于投资的资产总额已经是一个很小的比例,分散时点的作用会非常有限。

      对一般投资人而言,进行资产配置和分散入市时点需要花大量时间及精力看股市行情,研究报纸上的新闻及报告,每月还要按比例购买证券资产,费时费力,不如选择合适的基金,每月定额购买,就可以达到资产配置分散风险的目的了。假如投资人自身状况或对证券市场预期发生变化,需要调整资产配置,则只要转换到其他合适的基金就可以了。

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    有效突破关键点位。追涨杀跌,大胆跟进。

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    选择入市时间对投资业绩表现是非常重要的

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    追涨杀跌是新手的大忌,没有金刚钻别揽瓷器活。

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    多观察分析市场,找到最佳的下单时间才是最重要的

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    关键是判断整体趋势 因势利导

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    Default

    是的,盘整区这样做会死得很快。

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