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Thread: 波动原理的标记方法

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    Default 波动原理的标记方法

    波动原理的标记方法

    为了把握波动原理,需要了解波的标记符号及标记方法。但是波的等级是相对的概念,波的标记之核心在于选择一种最有效率的标记方法。

    艾略特选用了下述九个术语来记述波浪等级:
    特大超级循环级(Grand Superrcyclc) 超级循环级(Supercycle)循环级(Cycle)
    基本级(Primary) 中型级(Intermediate) 小型级(Minor)
    细级(Minute) 微级(Minuette) 次微级(subminuette)

    在波浪理论应用中如何准确地辨别波的级别经常是一个困难的问题。非凡是在一个新的波开始时,很难判定最后的小波属于哪个级别。幸运的是波浪等级仅仅是相对的概念。但是尽管这样,以上的等级标号仍反映了波的相对大小。例如,当论及美国股市自1932年上升时,其股价波浪等级一般按下述方式归类:

    19321937 第一个循环级的波浪
    19371942 第二个循环级的波浪
    19421965(6) 第三个循环级的波浪
    1965(6)1974 第四个循环级的波浪
    197419?? 第五个循环级的波浪

    每个循环级的波浪之子波就是基本级的波浪.进一步又可分为中型级波浪等等。

    还可以用数字波(Numbered Waves)和字母波(Lettered Waves)来标识股市中波浪的不同等级。

    波波等级 五个方向波 三个调整波
    超级循环级 (I) (II) (III) (IV) (V) (A) (B) ?
    循环级 I II III IV V A B C
    基本级 [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [A] [B] [C]
    中型级 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (a) (b) ?
    小型级 1 2 3 4 5 A B C
    细级 I ii iii iv v a b c
    微级 1 2 3 4 5 a b c

    上述表记方法非常接近艾略特使用的方法,但下述方法却更加序列化。

    波波等级 五个方向波 三个调整波
    特大超级循环级 [I] [II] [III] [IV] [V] [A] [B] [C]
    超级循环级 (I) (II) (III) (IV) (V) (A) (B) ?
    循环级 I II III IV V A B C
    基本级 I II III IV V A B C
    中型级 [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [a] [c]
    小型级 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (a) (b) ?
    细级 1 2 3 4 5 a b c
    微级 1 2 3 4 5 a b c

    在艾略特的记号系列中,"CYCLE"仅仅是用来表述波浪的等级,而非在非凡意义上的"循环"(Cycle)。痛常,有基本级或循环级的波。也轻易和道氏理论中的主升运动(Primary Swing)或主升市场(Primary Bull Market)的用语相混淆。其实至于用什么符号并不要紧,要害是选择一种最有效率的表述方法。此外我们还要涉及一个定义牛市和熊市的问题。超级循环的B波在特大超级循环中可能持续相当长的时间且幅度极大,甚至超过许多牛市,因而在公共媒体上往往也成为所谓牛市,尽管在彼动原理的体系上仍被标为熊市记号。

    统而言之,波浪理论之下有许多不同大小的牛市和熊市。仔细考察一下艾略特之基本概念,实际上牛市很简单地说就是一个上升5波,而熊市则是一系列调整这一上升趋势的波动

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    俺以后要准备学习波浪理论,在实际操作中,很实用。

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    汇价波动一上有下来,从支撑位买进好

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