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Thread: 08.15澳元:趋势线压制良好,跌势延续

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    Default 08.15澳元:趋势线压制良好,跌势延续

    澳元兑美元日线图方向向下,昨天波幅126个点,收出一根小阴十字星。汇价再度于低位展开震荡,如期上行考验最近的一条下降趋势线,但成功遇阻再度展开下挫。澳元距离下一道强支撑还有120点的距离,今天仍然可以继续看空澳元。

    当日短线方向:回调结束继续下挫
    弱支撑:0.8590 强支撑:0.8510
    弱阻力:0.8690 强阻力:0.8950

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    Default 08.15日元:新通道形成,美日再度上冲

    昨天,原油价格重拾跌势而美国股市强悍导致美元继续走高。包括高盛在内的几家大型银行急忙调整了其对美元的预测,以反映美元走势的突然转变。高盛在昨天的研究报告中表示,该行已经改变观点,预计美元已经见底;年底前走势仍会出现波动,但基本面已经变得对美元更加有利。原油期货价格跌至每桶115美元,道琼斯工业平均价格指数上涨近100点。油价下跌和股市上涨正帮助美国经济更快复苏,从而提振美元的总体市场人气。虽然许多人预计美元在近期大幅攀升后将会回调,但昨天的大涨走势表明外汇市场基本面已经发生改变。晚间的数据显示,7月份美国消费者价格指数较上年同期升幅创下17年新高。数据再度引发人们对于美国经济将陷入滞胀的担心。但投资者进一步消化数据之后想法改变,开始购买美元,因为他们认为即使在原油价格下跌的情况下,通货膨胀上升也会增加美联储加息的可能性。今天市场将关注一系列美国经济数据,包括7月份工业产值、8月份消费者信心调查报告和8月份纽约地区制造业报告。

    上一交易日回顾:
    美元兑日元日线图方向向上,昨天波幅97个点,收出一根下影线较长的小阳线。汇价经过回调之后重新转为上行,将此前被跌破的趋势线重新升破。4小时图新形成了一个上升通道,今天汇价将考验前方高点110.40,突破后可继续顺势做多美日。

    当日短线方向:冲高回落
    弱支撑:109.57 强支撑:108.37
    弱阻力:110.40 强阻力:114.65

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    Default

    日经新闻报道,日本经济研究中心预期日本未来两年经济增长前景低迷,预期2008财年实际gdp增长0.7%,09财年增长0.9%,预期08年名义gdp增长?0.1%,09财年增长1.2%。美元/日元现已反弹至110.37,道指反弹为汇价提供了支持。

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