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Thread: 澳大利亚8月消费者通胀预期指标为4.9%

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    Default 澳大利亚8月消费者通胀预期指标为4.9%

    澳大利亚8月消费者通胀预期指标为4.9%
    墨尔本大学应用经济和社会研究学院(Melbourne University's Institute of Applied Economic & Social Research)14日公布的调查结果显示,澳大利亚8月消费者通胀预期指标由7月的5.9%降至4.9%。
      墨尔本研究院表示,下调所得税的影响以及原油价格的走势正在对压低通胀预期起到作用。
      墨尔本研究院研究员Sam Tsiaplias表示,澳大利亚8月通胀预期显著下降与油价过去一个月急剧下跌相关是毫无疑问的。
      他称,通胀预期下降还将给第三季度CPI带来下行压力,从而减弱进一步加息的可能性并为将来放宽利率提供了一定空间。
      该调查基于对未来12个月物价上涨幅度的预期中值。
      调查显示,8月预计澳大利亚通胀年率将回落至澳央行2%至3%通胀目标区间内的受访者比例由7月的7.5%上升至8.8%。
      澳大利亚第二季度整体CPI季比上升1.5%,年比上升至12年高点4.5%。

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    德国及欧元区今日公布的第二季国内生产总值会影响欧元的表现。投资者预期前者按季跌幅为0.8%,如果属实,就会是德国过去十五年首次出现经济收缩。至于第二季经济表现亦未被市场看好,市场估计跌幅0.2%,有可能是该欧洲统一货币首次成立以来第一次面对经济回落困境。因此,除非该些数据出现惊喜,否则,汇市又会利用该些公布结果作为欧央行有必要减息的理据,只会利淡欧元汇价。日元方面,由于美国财政部需要于明日向其国库券持有人退还一笔总值43亿美元的债项,所以美元兑日元汇价恐怕会受压,理由是日资是美国最大的债权人,加上近期美国经济前景不明,导致日本投资者都从美国资产市场撤走,因此,日元在资金流动下有机会受益。

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    今日晚间重要数据
    17:00 欧元区7月核心消费者物价指数终值

    17:00 欧元区第二季度gdp初值

    20:30 美国7月消费者物价指数

    20:30 美国上周初请失业金人数(至0809)

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