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Thread: 英国央行:不排除经济负增长可能

  1. #1
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    Default 英国央行:不排除经济负增长可能

    英国央行:不排除经济负增长可能
    英国央行英格兰银行行长默文金13日说,英国经济正经历困难期,不排除经济出现负增长可能性。
      金说:"虽然还是夏天,但经济氛围却令人感到寒意。英国经济正不可避免地经历一个困难和痛苦的调整期。"英国央行预计,明年第一季度经济增长率将降至0.1%,远低于此前预计的1%。金说,不排除经济出现一到两个季度负增长的可能。
      金还预测,到今年底英国通货膨胀率或升至5%的历史新高,不过英国经济的不景气最终会抑制通胀率。他预计,如果央行将基准利率维持在5%,通胀率有望在两年内回落至2%目标水平以下。
      据英国国家统计局的数据,英国7月失业率升至2.7%,创1992年12月来最高水平。而7月通胀率则升至4.4%,为1997年来的最高纪录。
      英国经济目前既面临减速甚至衰退风险,又面临通胀率不断高企的压力。因此,英国央行本月初被迫决定维持5%的基准利率不变。分析人士认为,金当天的表态较倾向于"鸽派",所以一旦通胀率开始下降,英国央行可能选择降息来刺激经济。(

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    Default 英镑兑美元暂时止跌

    14日欧市盘中,英镑兑美元止跌反弹,亚市盘中汇价曾创下近22个月新低1.8620。短线汇价止跌企稳,目前展开技术性反弹,初步阻力位于布林线下轨1.8735附近及1.88水平,但之后重返5日均线及1.90关口上方才能缓解短线下行压力;否则,汇价弱势盘整和指标修正后,进一步跌破今日低点1.8620后,其后目标将指向2006年10月低位1.8516附近及6月低位1.80一线上方强支撑。

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