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Thread: 英国7月cpi年率升至97年以来纪录高点

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    Default 英国7月cpi年率升至97年以来纪录高点

    英国7月cpi年率上涨4.4%录得97年以来的纪录高点,主要推动因素是食品价格上涨,另外运输成本和公共事业费用也带来部分上行压力。零售物价指数也较预期强劲,剔除抵押贷款支付的核心零售物价指数年率上涨5.3%,远高于英央行2.5%的目标水平。周日电讯报道未来数月英国通胀可能升至5.0%的水平。昨日公布的英国7月生产者输出物价指数年率升至20年来的纪录高点。尽管经济继续呈现下滑趋势,但通胀压力继续困扰英国可能成为英央行减息的制肘,预计英央行很可能在下次会议继续维持利率不变,明日将公布英央行季度通胀报告备受市场关注,市场期待能从央行通胀报告和会议纪要中明确英央行的货币政策立场,在此之前英镑/美元走势可能继续取决于非美的总体走势,继续震荡下行的可能性较大。欧洲时段各货币对走势较为平静,偶尔受到地缘政治危机推动但并未出现明确的方向性走势,美国时段将公布美国6月贸易帐可能会对市场起到一定推动作用,从技术层面看,美元指数日图已上破长期下降趋势线倾向进一步走强,下一重要阻力在77.84。

      欧洲时段数据和事件:英国7月消费者物价指数月率∶0.0%,年率∶4.4%;英国7月核心消费者物价指数月率∶-0.2%,年率∶1.9%;英国7月零售物价指数月率∶-0.1%,年率∶5.0%;英国6月dclg房价指数年率∶0.6%。

      美国时段数据: 20:30美国6月贸易帐,加拿大6月贸易帐;22:00:美国8月ibd/tipp经济乐观指数。

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    Default

    汇价伦敦早盘达到趋势新低1.8970,利好空头。小时图指标超卖,有反弹的可能,汇价已经自低点回升。日图趋势指标仍超卖,但倾向继续走低,还没有出现反弹信号。我们目标是1.8620,但若反弹则空头回补。止损调低至1.9110上方以降低风险。(1.9085做空,目标1.8620,止损1.9120

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