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Thread: 狗熊操作法

  1. #1
    Elder Analyst fxo8525's Avatar
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    Default 狗熊操作法

    前些天把我一直以来想的操作法总结了一下,写了个"傻瓜操作法",总体思想就是在一大段上涨(下跌)后开始卖(买),并每隔一定的点位加仓(也就是"加死码"操作),后经高人指出这就是老外总结的"鱼网"(网格)操作法

    我在05年11月时在fxsol开了个小户,投入了300$进行了试验,没有坚持只操作一种货币的原则,最终在1214的大涨中暴了,于是在1月12号又投入了2030,并再次进行试验,效果还是不错的.启始720.47,投入2080(其中50是fxsol送的),一个月时间,赢利913.59,浮亏522.85,净赢利390.74.后期由于"网"还在,还有不少赢利机会.
    但这样操作就是要有大资金(或相对来讲的大资金),或者要网格比较大才好,这些天一直在想有没有更好的办法,于是想到了"狗熊操作法"(也许国外也有理论,但偶不知道,我这可完全是自己想出来的哦.

    狗熊操作法就是随便找一个货币,在一个想对好的价位开始交易,让利润象狗熊的棒子一样,一个一个地捡到,避免网格中加死码导致仓位过大的弊病.但相比起网格来就是要盯盘或大量挂盘来操作了.

    具体讲:
    比如对gbp操作,30点为一格,20点赢利在当前价位开始介入:
    B 17400 Lm 17420


    再挂单(或一直盯盘):
    S 17380 Lm 17360
    S 17350 Lm 17330
    S 17320 Lm 17300
    S 17290 Lm 17270
    ......
    B 17430 Lm 17450
    B 17460 Lm 17480
    B 17490 Lm 17510
    B 17520 Lm 17540
    ......

    假设第一手是正确的,并且汇率继续上涨,一张张买单就会成交,每一张单带来20点利润,也就是2$(fxsol超mini单),且同一时间手中只持有一张单,当汇率上涨到一定程度后,可以再多挂些空单,比如超过17480以后,可以再挂:
    S 17410 Lm 17390
    S 17440 Lm 17420
    S 17470 Lm 17450
    当汇率掉头向下时,手中持有一张买单(运气好的话,可能是空仓,比如汇率涨到17484/17488时,17490的买单没被触发),向下的一张张空单再依次被触发,再带来一个个20点的利润......

    如果第一手是错误的,汇率向下运行,一张张空单被触发,最终手中也只持有两张单,一张17400的买单和一张最后被触发的卖单,如果汇率运行120点的话,兑现赢利80点,浮亏120点,这时再挂买单.比如汇率向下运行到17280,持有17400买单和17290的卖单,再挂单:
    B 17370 Lm 17390
    B 17340 Lm 17360
    B 17310 Lm 17330

    所以,这个方法对振荡市是非常有效的,假设汇率在200点内振荡的话,单向的每一次就能赢利66.7%,如果汇率打了张"往返票"的话,就可纯赢利33.3%了,振荡时间越长,赢利越多.

    而对于单边市来说,就算在短时间内直下300点,损失也只是100点,象gbp这种能下1000点的东东,损失也只是333点,还不算单程中五里,七里徘徊时的赢利...

    当然,实际操作中还有些运气问题,最好的运气是最后一单没被触发,最差的运气是两头各有一单,分别是买在天花板的和卖在地板上的单.但只要汇率往回走,赢利就来喽!

    再有,选择锁单损失较小的货币也是要考虑的问题,在fxsol锁单的话,一超mini手只要0.01$,最贵的gbp\jpy也只要0.045$,就算是长时间锁单也没什么大问题,每天只要挣一手20点就够了.
    最后,我定的30点操作一手,20点赢利只是一个比喻,这两个值是可调的,对于不同货币对来讲,应该是不同的,对于gbp这东东来,可以用50点操作,35点赢利来做...

    最近没时间盯盘,所以还没开始这样操作,过些天有时间操作的话,再看看结果如何,我想应该比网格好些吧.
    交易是1 件慎重的事情~~~

  2. #2
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    谢谢楼主

    最近正好在学习狗熊法

  3. #3
    Market Maker dljz99's Avatar
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    其实就是网格操作法,但是单纯的网格很安宁赚到钱,目前流行的都是变种的网格
    http://lotto.siteem.com 外汇智能交易,免费赠送50美金玩德州扑克

  4. #4
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    "傻瓜操作法",你要多多使用,成功了再来汇报。

  5. #5
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    我觉得这样风险有点大

  6. #6
    Intraday Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by lijingqiu View Post
    我觉得这样风险有点大
    风险必定有的 要看个人对这个系统的理解了

  7. #7
    In Profit rogen's Avatar
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    先学习了。赚到钱再说

  8. #8
    In Profit alibaba's Avatar
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    MT4平臺下能實現嗎?

  9. #9
    In Profit alibaba's Avatar
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    在區間波動的貨幣對適合這種交易方法。

    如果出現單邊行情的話,以前的盈利就大幅縮水了啊。

  10. #10
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    学习了
    网格交易法第一次听说
    可能我从某种角度上还是新手吧,虽然交易的时间也不短了
    看来还是要加强学习
    这里就不错

  11. #11
    Bullish
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    先学习了。赚到钱再说

  12. #12
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    怎么不太明白啊

  13. #13
    Bullish tt99's Avatar
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    市场每天在变,我相信有规律的

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