BUY FXO Forum Shares
1316
Shares in the BANK:
We BuyWe Sell
$1.8526$1.9099
Results 1 to 2 of 2

Thread: 周二的汇率

  1. #1
    Bullish
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Posts
    81
    FXO Shares
    0
    FXO Bonus
    0.000
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Default 周二的汇率

    事件预告∶
    周二 12∶30 澳大利亚8月央行利率决议,预期7.25%,前值7.25%

    周二澳储行将公布8月利率决议。自今年3月利率上调至7.25%後澳储行已经连续4个月维持利率不变。不过随著澳洲国内经济显现放缓迹象,未来澳储行可能将开始减息。早前公布的澳大利亚第二季度零售销售数据疲弱,季率下跌0.6%,其中6月零售销售月率下跌1.0%,显示利率高企以及通胀上升令消费者支出放缓。除了消费者支出放缓之外,澳大利亚出现更多迹象显示经济下滑,例如房屋市场降温,多家企业倒闭或者裁员,以及消费者信心下滑。不过通胀前景恶化令澳储行对减息仍持谨慎态度。澳储行7月会议纪要指出第二季度cpi处于危险高位,推高了通胀预期,并重申目前货币政策具有 应性。早前公布的澳大利亚第二季度cpi季率为1.5%,年率为4.5%,均高于市场预期。另一方面,澳储行早前亦在声明中表示近期信贷危机重现,信贷条件收紧和能源价格上涨抑制国内需求,核心通胀可能逐步回落,总体国内需求和通胀前景面临很大的不确定性。

  2. #2
    Bullish
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Posts
    81
    FXO Shares
    0
    FXO Bonus
    0.000
    Thanks
    0
    Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts

    Default

    目前我们继续预期澳储行可能要到明年初才启动减息周期。市场总体亦预期本月不会减息,不过部分人认为9月有减息可能。不管怎样,市场将关注澳大利亚未来的数据,以进一步了解其目前的经济状况以及判断利率走向。

    尽管大部分分析师预期周二澳储行不会减息,但市场仍出现有关澳储行周二可能减息的传言,另外一知名澳洲分析师目前预期9月减息50点,远高于大部分人预期的幅度。澳元受传言打压,近期全盘走弱。周二澳储行公布利率决议前澳元仍可能进一步走低,不过若澳储行维持利率不变,澳元将可能如7月一样轻微下跌後开始反弹,因为市场惯于“卖于传言,买于事实”。

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
Disclaimer
2005-2016 © FXOpen All rights reserved. Various trademarks held by their respective owners.

Risk Warning:: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgment as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

FXOpen Markets Limited, a company duly registered in Nevis under the company No. C 42235. FXOpen is a member of The Financial Commission.

FXOpen AU Pty Ltd., a company authorised and regulated by the Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC). AFSL 412871ABN 61 143 678 719.

FXOpen Ltd. a company registered in England and Wales under company number 07273392 and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (previously, the Financial Services Authority) under FCA firm reference number 579202.

FXOpen does not provide services for United States residents.

Join us