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Thread: 欧元兑英镑:突破亚市顶部升至6日高点

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    Default 欧元兑英镑:突破亚市顶部升至6日高点



      欧洲早盘汇价突破0.7895的亚市顶部升至0.7907的6日高点,英镑受周日版独立报报道Gary Duncan 认为本周若加息25点将给经济带来极大的下行风险的消息打压。本周公布的Halifax房价指数年率下跌将超过10%消息打压。阻力在0.7913和0.7933,支持在0.7895,据悉买盘兴趣位于0.7880/85。
    交易是1 件慎重的事情~~~

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    早盘出现大量美元多头结利盘,汇价因此升至1.9700上方,然而当前汇价仍走低,由于英国经济继续出现恶化迹象,英镑仍相对其它主要货币走低。市场焦点转向本周四大央行的利率决议。英央行将被迫权衡通胀上涨以及经济放缓的风险,可能更多注重经济下行风险。

    因此,我们预期将至少保持利率不变,有较小的可能性是减息。技术上讲,若跌破1.9745则将确认在1.9930形成较低的顶部,若再次下跌,则将可能跌至下一支持1.9500-1.9580。在1.9700上方仍有大量卖盘。

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    国利率期货4日上扬,之前公布的营建活动数据较为疲弱。本周英国央行,美联储和欧央行都将公布利率决定.

    投资者亦将密切关注5日将要公布的英国7月服务业采购经理人指数(pmi),分析师预期服务业活动料将下滑。

    同时,还将有6月官方制造业数据公布,

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