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Thread: 转贴 数据博弈 美元翻身

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    Default 转贴 数据博弈 美元翻身

      在上一个交易日的 外汇市场由于投资者担忧石油需求将下降,周二原油跌至12周来的低点。欧佩克主席表示长期来看,油价将可能跌至70-80 美元每桶。自7月中以来油价开始下跌,美国7月消费者信心指数因此意外上涨。另外油价下降推动美股反弹,进而支持美元全盘上涨。美指创下一个多月来的高点73.425,当前似乎守稳于100日均线上方,是看涨信号,但本周的关键事件是周五的美国非农 数据,从消费者信心指标分项来看,消费者对就业前景更为悲观,预示着周五的非农数据将可能疲弱,在公布此数据之前美元将倾向盘整。



      走势分析:


      欧元/美元在上一个交易日中 汇价从小时图形上分析,均线系统空头排列运行,短线汇价在创新低点价位后小幅反弹向上运行,其反弹力度较弱,当前短线走势以空头运行为主趋势节奏。4小时图上在昨日汇价跌破1.5600颈线位置后头肩顶形态成立,macd指标下穿零轴运行,空单继续持有尚未出现离场信号。预计今日欧元/美元短线走势以向下为主的可能性较大。

      交易方向: 逢高作空

      策略: 可参考在1.562卖欧元,1.566止损 ,目标1.55





      走势分析:

      美元/ 日元在上一个交易日中从小时图形上分析,短线走势持续上行,美日短线大趋势节奏处于第三浪运行中,目前还不能确认3浪已经结束。均线系统多头排列运行良好,说明美元/日元短线走势接续保持上涨为主趋势节奏中,预计今日美元/日元短线将继续上行的概率较大。

      交易方向:逢低买入

      交易策略: 可参考在107.6买美元/日元,106.2止损 ,目标108.3





      走势分析:

      英镑/美元在上一个交易日中从小时图形上分析,上个交易日英镑短线下调从力度和幅度来看均比较强劲,短线趋势由上涨逆转为下跌走势节奏,均线系统已经拐头下行。短线汇价重新回到前期区间震荡波幅以内,macd指标下穿零轴尚未脱离空头动能区域,预示短线下行力度仍占优势,汇价很可能跌破上个交易日低点位置。预计今日英镑/美元短线震荡下落运行的可能性较大。

      交易方向: 逢高作空

      交易策略: 可参考在1.984卖英镑,1.988止损 ,目标1.975

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    Default

    感觉前景好混沌啊,感觉美日应该跌,但好像欧美也应该跌,搞到很迷茫

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