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Thread: 美元冲高回落继续面临挑战

  1. #1
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    Default 美元冲高回落继续面临挑战

     上周油价下跌,加上风险偏好情绪减退,美元迎来反弹良机。并且周末公布的美国耐久订单数据表现强劲,令市场预期美国制造业生产有起色,美元受到激励后,兑各主要货币均出现上涨。周一亚市早盘,美元继续受到激励而持稳。欧市开盘后,受投资者获利抛盘及市场静待本周重要GDP及非农数据公布的影响,美元承压并小幅下滑。美元指数亦表现为冲高回落,截至发稿时,维持在72.758附近,显示出美元继续面临挑战。

      欧元方面,亚市时段,欧元兑美元基本持稳;欧市开盘后,受投资者低位买盘增加,并且对冲基金买盘推动欧元兑美元持续上扬,截至发稿时,欧元兑美元已上升至1.5740附近,全天上涨约0.25%。

      周一亚市时段,受亚洲基金买盘推动,美元兑日元升值108.08的当日最高点。但其后由于日本出口商的卖盘而下跌至107.95水准。欧市开盘后,因市场继续担忧美国对房贷市场救助的法令是否有成效,美国经济是否已好转等因素,美元兑日元继续震荡下滑,截至发稿时,已跌至开盘价107.7附近。

      周一欧市时段英镑兑欧元和美元下跌,因此前地产咨询公司Hometrack公布7月英国房价连续第10个月下降的消息令英镑承压。但随后因市场认为英国央行的下一步动作可能会升息来抑制英国的通胀,此预期也限制了英镑的下跌走势,截至发稿时,英镑兑美元有所回升至1.9868附近。

      近期,油价、股市、美元成为主导全球汇市的三大主因。本周依然如此,油价下跌、美股上升,美元的做多氛围就十分浓厚,反之市场将选择做空美元。本周在美国数据方面,市场重点关注7月消费者信心指数、第二季度GDP、7月份芝加哥采购经理人指数、7月非农就业人口、7月失业率以及ISM制造业指数等信息,以期寻找美元升息前景的线索。

      在非美货币方面,一个重点是德国和欧元区7月通胀率,预计欧元区7月通胀率将进一步提高至4.2%,这可能令市场进一步担忧欧元区经济陷入滞胀的困境。(作者系中国 建设银行(行情 股吧)总行交易员) (本文来源:中证网
    交易是1 件慎重的事情~~~

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    Default

    美圆持续走高 也查不多该回落了

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    这个时候做空头得小心,一个冲顶,能让做空的损失很惨

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