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Thread: 市场上美元几被抽干 美元"很缺货"

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    Default 市场上美元几被抽干 美元很缺货

    "如果你现在直接到拆借市场融美元,特别是1个月以上的,银行都不会借给你。"3月4日,一位外资法人银行资金交易主管告诉本报记者。

      而可以变相融入美元的另一个重要渠道在银行间外汇市场上进行人民币外汇掉期业务的美元实际利率,眼下的飙涨也显得十分异常。

      3月7日收盘时,1年期美元利率已经超越13%,实际成交价格可能更高。而境外市场1年期美元利率一直徘徊在3%的下方。

      更让人吃惊的是,曾经依靠掉期业务拆出美元从而低成本融取人民币、同时获取高额利差的外资行(详见本报3月5日第11版<解密人民币外汇掉期套利路径 外资行或成最大受益者>),目前却开始减少这种套利业务。

      "因为大家都不愿借出所剩无几的美金了。"3月7日下午,上海某外资行资金部交易员告诉记者。

      自2007年第二季度开始引起市场关注的美元紧缺现象日益严重,近期的利率急剧上涨表明国内"美元荒"已到达一个敏感时刻。

      更令人担忧的是,在人民币升值预期的主导下,境内商业银行普遍存在外汇资产负债期限错配的现象,一些中资银行手中还握有大量的短美金头寸,外资银行也概莫能外。市场的不确定性令中外资银行在规避了汇率风险的同时,又迎来了利率风险和流动性风险。
    交易是1 件慎重的事情~~~

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    Default

    倒,美圆一直贬值,不可能出现供给缺少的情况,这几天美圆又走高,只能说明有大型机构在吸纳美金,后果就是吃饱了要吐出来,一吐就是狂泻,准备做空军

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