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Thread: 零售额-容易出人意料的重要数据

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    Default 零售额-容易出人意料的重要数据

    市场敏感度:高。



    含义:当月的关于消费者支出方面的第一份报告;结果可能出乎人们意料。



    发布新闻的网址:www.census.gov/svsd/www/advtable.html



    主页网址:www.census.com



    发布时间:美国东部时间上午8点30分;在相关月份结束后的第二个星期可以得到。



    频率:每月一次。



    来源:商业部普查局。



    修正:从月到月的修正幅度较大。每次发布数据都包含了对前两个月数据的广泛修正,以反映更充分的信息。基准调整在每年的3月份公布,可能回溯三年或更长时间。



    为什么重要



    零售额反映了消费者在商品上的消费支出,有助于投资界了解消费者的心态和行为。消费者支出构成了全部经济活动的70%,而销售额又在其中占了1/3的比重。只要消费者让收款机响个不停,就是经济整体增长和繁荣的信号。



    对汇率的影响


    货币市场上的玩家发现零售额是一个分析起来很棘手的指标。外国人宁愿看到美国人购物欲旺盛,因为这会促使利率上升(对美元是利好消息),但一个过大的零售额数字同样可以给美元招致麻烦,因为这些商品中很多是进口的。基于美国已经存在巨大贸易逆差这一事实,进口增长提高了对支付外国商品的非美元货币的需求 这实际上将挫伤美元。

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    Default

    美元要振荡上行??

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