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Thread: 灰色交易世界

  1. #1
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    Default 灰色交易世界

    资本市场通常不是非此即彼这样简单明了,除了上涨与下跌红绿分明外,大多数情况下是灰色地带。本来良好的上攻可能突然转为下落,而且下落的速度与力度甚为骇人。情绪不稳的立刻抛售,但卖完后股票却起死回生,再冲出新高。这类交易体现出的弊病是情绪主导理性,只需加强一些训练即可改正。训练的目的是形成一种统一化的逻辑,使交易在开始、进行与终止各个阶段保持一致性。小生因合伙人西方游学之故,误堕红尘,全盘接收商业摊子,数年来从不甚了了至略懂皮毛,对企业治理有了书本上所未见的观感,实属意外收获,进而影响到投资理念,如沐春风潜移默化受益非浅。所接触个别优秀品牌有一套严厉制度,上行下效,即便短期亏蚀亦一丝不苟地实行。反观其余公司,制度只是摆设,领导一支笔乾纲独断,若产品旺销,质量就成大问题,质量改善了,服务就跟不上,服务抓好了,马上搞价格战,结果销量就不稳定,成本就上升,产品就积压,为了短期利益,过期的可以回厂换个生产日期,卖给不同的客户价格落差大的惊人,别人买回去一比较,回头客就少了,生意越做越窄,市场占有率越来越低。缺乏一致性的操作系统是商业,也是投资失败的最重要原因。回到前面的案例操作里,若下落击破设制的停损位,卖出是正确的;若没设停损,就要多练习了,怎么设停损有不少讲究。喜欢玩波浪的,可以用两浪不重合、二不破一底等原则(其实是假设)来定。喜欢江恩的,可以用平方律、周期律等原则(假设)来定。但若以形态或时间的比率关系去设停损就要不得了,那些比值事后看看头头是道,事前搞搞一头雾水,0.618、1.618、2.5、2.618哪个是真命天子?在不确定的条件里强求确定的结果往往变成押宝、瞎猜。个人喜欢简单,所以技术上一般只依赖一点入门级理论。也有人喜欢用基本面变化设停损,则须先对行业、企业有一定了解;若设了停损不执行,是水平退化,心理素质提升困难的多,真枪实弹多玩玩,别指望搞模拟能有出息。好的交易者是亏出来的,实盘的心理压力与波动,不痛不痒的模拟永远无法提供。在压力或陶醉中保持客观是宝贵经验,纸上谈兵享受不到这种武功更上层楼的乐趣。若没到停损提前出局,号称落袋为安,锁定利润,就别再玩了,基本没救了,早早离开资本市场为妙。迅速认赔让利润增长是好的交易,迅速认赚或套牢了死捂是超烂的交易,务必获利与获利后不能忍受少赚是不入流的交易。只要是预期的情况没有发生就不必反向操作,静等条件实现。若预期的情况发生则马上出局,盈利还是亏损完全不重要。因为成熟一致的操作是长久盈利的保证,并非笔笔盈利的保证,单次盈利与交易设计相违背,要么放弃系统,要么放弃盈利,一般来说系统是长年累月心血结晶,视同生命,除非系统新建缺乏实战未具信心。【
    交易是1 件慎重的事情~~~

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    神秘数字,神奇数字,让人一头雾水

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    搞不太明白 弄的有点乱!。。。。。。。。

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    Quote Originally Posted by smithcheng View Post
    神秘数字,神奇数字,让人一头雾水
    呵呵,黄金分割理论嘛
    不是说埃及金字塔就有黄金分割的数字哦
    神秘吧
    =======
    My trading principles:
    Follow the trend in a light positions.

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    Quote Originally Posted by z343204402 View Post
    搞不太明白 弄的有点乱!。。。。。。。。
    不要一碰到难题就放弃啊
    存下心来好好阅读一下吧
    =======
    My trading principles:
    Follow the trend in a light positions.

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