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Thread: 美元遭联手干预概率增大

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    Default 美元遭联手干预概率增大

    随着美元兑欧元上周挫至纪录低点、引发新一轮粮油涨价,各界对采取行动拉高美元的呼吁与日俱增。美联储主席伯南克也明确表示会在必要时采取行动。

      而从以往有美国财政部参与的国际协同干预来看,历史有望重演,特别是因为在这些干预中运用的现金量一般都不大。

      2000年9月22日买欧元的干预行动,在接下来的几个月间得到欧洲央行和欧元区各国央行的紧急呼应。

      尽管当时问世不久的欧元在当年10月26日短暂跌至0.8252美元的纪录低位,下滑了30%左右,但欧元在随后8年间稳步上升,并于上周创下新高。

      1994年4月~1995年8月期间,美国当局与日欧央行定期买美元进行干预。美元兑德国马克于1995年3月跌至纪录低点1.3455马克,兑日元一个月后降至二战后低位79.70日元。

      但在1998年8月,美元兑日元(107.32,0.0900,0.08%,吧)站上145,并在2000年10月前兑德国马克的接班者欧元屡创纪录高位。

      而如今,美元疲弱的问题又来了。围绕美国抵押贷款融资巨头房利美和房贷美的问题,让人对美国整个金融体系和经济的忧虑加深,也成为美元/欧元上周跌至底谷的推手。

      而全球政策制定者最不愿意看到的就是美元疲势固化下来,因其会加剧对美国资产的担忧、加重粮油价格涨势、让央行更难通过降息来缓解危机。

      尽管国际上也许不会很快联手力挺美元,但交易人士目前对于这种情况的警惕性,很可能已达到2000年9月美欧日当局打响欧元保卫战以来最高。

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    Default

    现在情况出来来,美圆利用石油来影响自己的比价,在高位抛售石油期货,获利,让下面的买盘承压,释放出美圆,然后保证美圆走高,前期在低位,吃进,怎么算都是自己得利,大家买单

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