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Thread: 欧元兑美元围绕布林线中轨1.5740附近反复争夺

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    Default 欧元兑美元围绕布林线中轨1.5740附近反复争夺

    23日欧市盘中,欧元兑美元探低企稳。短线汇价连续失守多条均线、走势转为偏弱,目前下探至布林线中轨1.5740附近反复争夺,若进一步下破30日均线1.57水平,汇价将面临进一步下滑风险,中线目标指向1.55关口;反弹多条均线及昨日刚被跌破的自1.53以来上升趋势线在1.5800/50区间构成较强反压,更强阻力位于1.5900/44区间。

    亚洲汇市,欧元兑美元继隔夜暴跌后,早盘温和反弹仍受阻于1.58一线,尾盘小幅下探1.5745暂时企稳。欧洲汇市早盘受疲弱工业订单数据拖累,继续下探日内新低1.5716后企稳反弹,最新报1.5738。受日圆疲软及股市反弹推升风险偏好推动,欧元兑日圆欧市盘初刷新记录新高至169.96,最新报169.67。

    隔夜纽约时段,美国财长保尔森就市场和美国经济发表讲话称,尽管在房产市场稳定之前,金融市场将继续存在压力,原油和食品价格上涨令经济受到压制,不过预计国会本周将批准政府支持企业改革方案,并再次强调强势美元符合美国利益,美国经济的潜在强势将被体现在汇市中。美国费城联储主席普罗索随后也发表讲话称,过于宽松的货币政策维持过长时间可能令通胀问题恶化,所以政策调整宜早不宜迟,并且可能需要在劳动力市场或金融市场复苏之前加息。受此推动,美元隔夜纽约时段全线大幅上扬,油价再度失守130美元/桶关口后大幅下挫,欧元兑美元连续跌破1.59及1.58关口。

    23日欧洲时段公布的数据显示,欧元区5月工业订单月降3.5%年降4.4%,大大差于预期的月降1.3%年升1.9%,年降幅为2003年8月来最大;4月工业订单修正后为月升2.0%年升12.3%。疲弱数据进一步证实了市场对欧元区经济增长放缓的担忧,打压欧元下探两周新低1.5716。

    英国央行7月9-10日货币政策会议记录显示,mpc成员7月以7:2投票维持利率在5.0%不变,其中布兰奇福劳如预期连续第3个月投票要求减息,意外的是贝斯利意外投票要求加息25个基点。会议记录暗示英国央行短期内难以降息,刺激英镑走高。随后公布的英国7月工业订单差值从6月份为+1大幅下降至-8,同时英国制造业企业的乐观程度也降至2001年10月来最低水平;但与此同时,英国7月cbi工业物价预期差值由+28升至+34,为1990年1月来的最高水平,显示企业面临的成本压力则急剧攀升,并可能转嫁给消费者。市场关注英国通胀压力进一步增强,推升英镑反弹逼近2.0关口,从交叉盘打压欧元,欧元兑英镑欧市盘中触及一个月新低。

    技术图表显示,欧元兑美元跌破多条均线。5日均线拐头下滑,并下穿10日均线,日macd线高位死叉,形成初步看跌信号,绿柱大幅放大,rsi指标跌至40-50偏弱区域,短线汇价走势转为偏弱。短线汇价连续失守多条均线,目前下探至布林线中轨1.5740附近反复争夺,若进一步下破30日均线1.57水平,汇价面临进一步下滑风险,中线目标指向1.55关口;反弹多条均线及昨日刚被跌破的自1.53以来上升趋势线在1.5800/50区间构成较强反压,更强阻力位于1.5900/44区间。

    晚间重点关注美联储理事米什金及美联储副主席科恩讲话,以及美国上周原油库存及油价走势。此外,美国国会众议院今日将就房利美和房贷美房地产市场援救议案进行投票。明晨02:00继续关注美联储公布的经济褐皮书。

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    一直做美日,很久没有关注过欧美对了

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    美日相对欧美要好做些!

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    Quote Originally Posted by z343204401 View Post
    美日相对欧美要好做些!
    最大的好处是美日便宜,呵```

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    恩恩 我朋友告诉 等我发够了 我也做 美日!

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    欧元要跌了

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    看布林太渺茫,行情总是游走在布林以外,在布林以内的正常行情,很难抓到

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    难得抓住啊!!!!

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