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Thread: 伊朗核问题触发避险情绪,美元间接承压

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    Default 伊朗核问题触发避险情绪,美元间接承压

    周一亚太盘及欧洲早盘时段,美元兑日圆走低。伊朗和西方大国就前者核计划的谈判无果而终后,油价周一跳涨超过1美元,间接也带动了黄金的避险魅力。商品价格的走高部分程度上令美元承压,且加上美元兑日圆在开盘初始突破107.00关卡未果后,技术卖盘抛压沉重,一同打压美元兑日圆,汇价一度触及106.35。至欧洲早盘时段,美元兑日圆略有企稳,汇价于106.50一带波动。

    小时图上,价格在之前跌幅的76.4%黄金回档处受到卖压,开始转头向下,预计下跌行情会延续至下个交易日。从技术指标上看,rsi(14)形成了顶部背离,且指标已经有效跌穿颈线,说明短线内价格转势下跌可能性非常大。macd(12,26,9)主线与信号线呈下行走势,两线逐步靠近零轴,并且间距不断拉开,指标的看跌信号加强。我们建议投资者于目前价格做空美日,绝对止损设在前期高点107.75以上,目标先看前期低点103.50一带,有效跌破后看103.10附近。


    Eurusd

    周一亚太盘及欧洲早盘时段,受伊朗核会谈未取得进展的影响,石油、黄金、瑞郎等具有避险功能的商品或货币均呈现上扬走势,美元因此承压。此外,欧元兑美元短期内企稳于1.5800上方,欧元买盘信心因此加强,令更多的欧元多头涌入市场,提振欧元兑美元于欧洲早盘一度站上1.5900平台。虽然汇价随后迅速回落,但又立即获得支撑,目前再度逼近1.5900关口。

    小时图上,macd(12,26,9)的主线与信号线相继上穿零轴后,进一步加速上行,指标看多。rsi(14)在上行趋势线附近得到支撑后重新上弯,指标同样看多。从图中可以看出,价格目前已经突破前期的盘整区间,开始发力上行,建议投资者买入欧元兑美元。目标可以上看至前一波下跌趋势的76.4%黄金回档位,即1.5975附近,止损设在1.5854下方。

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    美元多跌一下啊!!!!

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