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Thread: 油价连续暴跌三天 多头走势可能划下休止符

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    Default 油价连续暴跌三天 多头走势可能划下休止符

    美国经济忧虑引发的沽盘令原油价格创出有史以来最大三日跌幅,达15.89美元。有分析师表示,由此来看,国际油价已确实开始反映未来全球对原油及天然气需求可能趋于缓和的情势,而市场也因此开始出现油价的大多头走势可能已近结束的声音。

    综合媒体报道,纽约商交所八月轻质低硫原油期货周四(7月17日)结算价下跌5.31美元,至每桶129.29美元,跌幅4%,ICE布伦特原油期货收盘价为131.23美元,下跌了4.58美元。原油期货结算价自7月14日创下历史新高145.18美元之后已下挫近11%。17日结算价为6月5日以来最低水平。

    大量沽盘是周二美联储(Fed)主席伯南克的讲话引发的,他表示,美国经济还需要数月时间才能走出增长低迷的状态。在报告显示美国原油和油品库存出人意料增加后,周三原油市场的下跌压力增大,并持续至周四的交易中,因为美国和伊朗的紧张关系似乎有所缓和。另外,八月期权即将到期迫使交易员把月初建立的头寸平仓。

    分析师们认为,本周来油价大跌乃是反映油市已确实感受到美国与全球原油需求减少的影响。芝加哥一家能源顾问公司FundamentalAnalytics.com的总裁芬格曼表示,油市多头有好长一段时间一直强调所有利多消息,并贬低任何利空消息,但民众转而舍弃运动休旅车,油市多头就开始有所节制了。

    澳洲联邦银行分析师穆尔表示,油价正处于用油需求开始进行大幅调整的阶段。石油输出国组织(OPEC)在本周二发布一份报告中指出,明年全球原油需求预估将低于今年。

    美国政府上周五公布能源库存,原油呈现较前周增加300万桶,与分析师所预期的相反,美国的汽油库存则增长240万桶,同样跌破分析师眼镜,而蒸馏油周库存增幅超越分析师预期。这份报告透露出,油价创新高很可能压制了美国的能源消耗,以致库存增加。MF Global的能源分析师齐尔达夫表示,美国的能源库存上升,加上整体经济前景欠佳,使得油价下跌。

    美国最新的能源库存报告也显示,美国油品需求较去年同期下降2.0%,显示油价飙涨抑制了美国消费者对燃料的需求。美国一家能源风险管理公司Cameron Hanover的总裁柏伊托认为,这是原油价格将更大幅走跌的前兆,很可能油价这波涨势所造成的最坏影响已经显现,油价走势已开始转变。

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    呵呵,跌吧,不跌可受不了的

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    炒买炒卖才会弄的这种地步!

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    不炒买卖,怎么行啊

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    油价大跌! 形式看好!

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