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Thread: 政府可能增加借贷 英镑兑美元惨跌

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    Default 政府可能增加借贷 英镑兑美元惨跌

      英国财政大臣达林公布了一项新的支出指导方针,投资者因此猜测英国政府将增加借贷。受此影响,英镑/美元大幅下挫,小时图逼近200日均线。16:30公布的政府6月收支短差报告的影响则不大。

      据英国金融时报引用消息人士的话称,新的框架将允许政府打破公共部门债务的上限。而财政部发言人则表示这完全是猜测。西太平洋集团首席货币策略师Sean Callow指出,在报告出炉后,市场就涌现了英镑抛盘,而且看起来这种势头将继续下去。他还表示,财政部这样做可能意味着英国经济形势相当糟糕。

      报道说,英国政府借贷正在朝打破现有计划最高占GDP 40%的方向发展。财政部目前正在等待英国统计局将于9月公布的经济增长预测值的修正值,该数值将帮助界定当前经济周期的结束时间。

      欧洲时段,英国统计局公布了6月政府收支短差报告。结果显示,6月收支短差为+155亿英镑,净借贷为+92亿英镑。这两个数字均高于预期,不过英镑对此反应不大。


      ◎ 英国经济的现状和未来

      7月初以来,英国房屋建筑商裁员4000多人。英国最大的抵押贷款商HBOS上周表示,6月房价同比跌幅创下1992年以来之最。

      美国次级抵押贷款市场轰然倒塌,造成世界各国金融机构亏损和减计了4360亿美元左右,并导致金融领域裁员9.4万人。

      因此,渣打银行新加坡首席货币策略师Thomas Harr表示看空英镑。他说:我们预计英国经济陷入衰退,这将是房屋市场和金融市场压力的合力所为。他预测英镑/美元在2009年9月之前跌至1.7700

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    英镑/美元
    在调整,今天很难做的,耐心 等待调整结束
    交易是1 件慎重的事情~~~

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    要是英镑比美圆便宜就好了,就能做点了,现在太贵

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    市场就涌现了英镑抛盘,而且看起来这种势头将继续下去。他还表示,财政部 这样做可能意味着英国经济形势相当糟糕

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