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Thread: 投石问路,美股或将继续成为风向标

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    Default 投石问路,美股或将继续成为风向标

    欧洲时段延续沉闷,意大利和法国工业生产数据大幅低于预期仍难以吸引市场眼球。在全球经济陷入低迷,通胀高涨的情况下,零散的经济数据似乎已难以作为预测汇价走势的依据。市场似乎正在等待哪国央行能率先给出表态,不论是给出加息还是减息信号都好,但在经济面临滞胀尴尬局面的情况下,各国央行面均陷入两难抉择,没有足够的勇气做第一个吃螃蟹的人。各大央行均按兵不动让市场感觉迷茫,于是风险厌恶情绪本周来多次成为市场的主要推动因素,美股上涨则支持美元,美股下跌则打压美元似乎成了定势。日内美国时段仍将缺乏重大风险事件,这一主题有望继续下去。房利美和房贷美的负面消息可能对美股产生一定影响。美联储早前已发出信息不再减息,按照这一推断美国应该最早从次贷危机后遗症中恢复过来,但目前美元仍未出现像样的趋势性反弹。从日图看美元指数良好的运行于上升通道中,可以理解仍是对前期跌势的旗形整理,保利加通道方向仍支持下行,美指目前接近测试下轨,是继续在通道底部受到支持继续通运行还是跌破通道再次下行呢,让我们拭目以待吧。

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    看美元指数

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    美股不能完全参照,应该认真分析美元指数的走势,综合分析判断。

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