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Thread: 中国经济数据

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    Default 中国经济数据

    中国海关周四公布,中国6月贸易顺差213.5亿美元,比去年同期下降20.6%.该数据低于此前路透调查的预测中值224亿美元.


    海关同时公布,中国6月出口同比增长17.6%至1,215.3亿美元;进口同比增长31%至1,001.8亿美元.

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    西南证券宏观分析师 王剑辉:

    6月出口增速下降幅度超出预期,进口增速则基本符合预期.根据我们的观测,今年以来进口价格增幅明显高于出口价格增幅,一方面国际原油、大宗商品价格的不断攀升推高了进口成本,而同时中国出口企业定价能力仍然较弱,难以尽数转嫁上升的成本,低端加工贸易行业对外转移已是大势所趋.

    现在看来全年贸易顺差净下降已是毫无疑问,只是下降多少的问题.针对部分行业出口退税回调的政策也只是应急的办法,落後产业是时候逐步转移出去了,这是中国外贸产业必经的过程.

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    周四公布的英国6月Halifax房价指数年率下跌6.1%,是15年以来最大跌幅,月率下跌2.0%,平均房价是180344英镑。数据由英国最大的抵押贷款机构HBOS PLC公布,该机构表示平均房价目前已经与2006年8月水平相同,另外还预期英国房价今年将下跌9%。这些数据显示利率高企令英国房地产市场进一步恶化。由于通胀前景令人担忧,今日英国央行决定继续维持利率在5.0%不变。

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    据消息人士透露,中国今年1-6月份获得的实际外商直接投资(fdi)为523.9亿美元,较去年同期大幅上涨46%,但低于今年前5个月55%的年增幅,也低于今年前4个月59%的年增幅。

    然而,与07年全年14%的增幅相比,中国今年上半年的实际外商直接投资明显加速,这可能会使中国政府继续为投机性资金的涌入感到担忧。这些热钱可能伪装成外商投资或者贸易资金进入中国,从人民币汇率升值中赚取利润。

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    中国人民银行授权中国外汇交易中心公布,2008年7月11日银行间外汇市场美元等交易货币对人民币汇率的中间价为:1美元对人民币6.8397元,1欧元对人民币10.8002元,100日元对人民币为6.3913元,1港元对人民币0.87659元, 1英镑对人民币13.5327元。



    中国外汇交易中心

    2008年7月11日

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