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Thread: 美元走高 市场观望fed主席贝南克谈话及g8会议

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    Default 美元走高 市场观望fed主席贝南克谈话及g8会议

    * 投资人关注fed主席贝南克是否会释出升息暗示

      * 市场等待g8领袖对油价及美元的评论

      * 交投淡静,美国将结束周末连续假期,恢复交易

      路透东京7月7日电---美元兑欧元及日圆周一扬升,投资人静待美国联邦储备理事会(fed)主席贝南克等高层官员的谈话,以寻觅美国货币政策未来走向的线索.

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    美元兑欧元延续上周涨势,上周因美国就业数据显示美国经济未如事前预期低迷,且欧洲央行评论为该行将进一步升息的预期降温,美元/欧元因而上扬.

      但交投偏淡.美国市场上周五因假休市後,周一将恢复交易.

      "现在市场的主题在于FED是否会不顾经济疲势而升息,"信金中央金库外汇交易商Hiroshi Yoshida指出,"如果贝南克的评论无法支撑市场对升息的预期,美元可能会再度下跌."

    多位FED官员本周将发表演说,将由旧金山联邦储备银行总裁叶伦周一稍晚揭开序幕.

      贝南克周二将在美国联邦存款保险公司(FDIC)的一场论坛上发言,周四将在众议院金融服务委员会发表谈话,不过他的演说料围绕在金融市场规范上.

      投资人观望FED如何权衡美国经济成长迟滞与通膨高涨的风险.投资人开始认为,经济成长面临的风险与对金融业者的疑虑,将暂时阻止FED将联邦基金利率由目前的2%上调.然而,市场仍然预估该行年底前有升息25个基点的可能.

      欧元/美元较欧洲汇市周五尾盘跌0.3%至1.5640,为逾一周最低位.

     欧洲央行周四将利率由4%升至4.25%,符合一般预期,以控制欧元区创历史新高的通膨.然而,欧洲央行总裁特里谢会後表示对货币政策"没有立场偏好",使该行将继续升息的部份预期降温.

      美元/日圆上涨0.4%至107.04,为逾一周来最高水准.欧元兑日圆下跌0.2%至167.40,交易商指出,传言本周将有大量欧元区公债赎回.

      美元指数<.DXY>则是升至逾一周高点.

      **G8领袖峰会**

      交易商亦正将焦点放在八国集团(G8)领袖召开的三天会议,留意与会领袖所释出的讯息力道,是否足以扭转油价劲升及美元长期跌势.

      气候变迁、食品及石油价格上涨,料将成为会议重心.G8领袖会议周一起于日本北海道展开.一名日本高阶政府官员上周表示,G8成员国将会讨论弱势美元为高油价成因的疑虑.

      "各国高层官员均对对抗油价及大宗商品价格高涨表达立场."三菱东京UFJ银行市场分析小组首席分析师高岛修表示.

      "油价和大宗商品可能很快就会触顶,未来六个月左右欧元和生产大宗商品国家的货币料将下跌,"高岛修表示.

      油价上涨时,欧元通常会升值,因为市场揣测产油国可能把原油出口所得的美元收益,用以买进欧元等其他货币,以分散其投资组合.

      美国总统布什(布希)与日本首相福田康夫在G8峰会前会面後于周日表示,美国经济目前成长速度未尽理想,而美国政府支持强势美元政策.[ID:nCT0130780]

      但市场对布什的谈话反应淡漠,因布什只是老调重弹,他和美国财长保尔森均一再重申支持强势美元政策.分析师表示,此类言论听起来相当空洞.由于市场对今年稍後美国积极升息的预期已降温,美元近几周已受压.

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    昨晚美元指数跌了不少呢

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    昨晚没拿住,可惜

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