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Thread: 英央行减息指日可待

  1. #1
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    Default 英央行减息指日可待

    今日得克萨斯太平洋集团TPG放弃对英国最大抵押贷款商Bradford & Bingley的救援计划,令B&B股价一度跌至2000年12月首次公开募股以来的最低,尽管TPG早前曾欲出资约1.5亿英镑收购受次贷危机影响而陷入资金困扰的B&B银行。受此消息拖累,英镑/美元重测了昨日低点1.9800。近期英镑/美元出奇强劲,但若从基本面来看,英国经济实际上正逼近衰退边缘。6月Hometrack房价指数月率下降了1.0%,同期Nationwide房价指数年率下降6.3%,为1992年12月以来的最大跌幅。5月BBA抵押许可亦创下自1997年以来的最低。另外,制造业、服务业和建筑业采购经理人指数均连续数月维持在荣衰分界线50下方,进一步增加了英国经济下行风险。上周行长金恩曾表示通胀今年可能继续走高,为防止第二轮通胀效应,相信经济降温将帮助通胀回到目标水平。虽然各国央行把当前高通胀视为强敌,但在英国经济不断涌现放缓迹象的情况下,英央行可谓百般无奈,只能将焦点转向经济增长上。今日惠誉预期英央行基于经济急剧放缓将会减息,若未来该减息预期进一步增强,无疑将沉重打压英镑

  2. #2
    wu2080
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    若未来该减息预期进一步增强,无疑将沉重打压英镑
    意思是英镑要下跌了,有的人又说要涨,听谁的呀

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