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Thread: 暴风雨前的平静

  1. #1
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    Default 暴风雨前的平静

    欧央行利率决议/声明和美国非农报告公布前,市况极其清淡。这两个事件恰好发生在美国金融市场提前休市前夕,因此流动性的缺失可能引发激烈的市场波动。在上述关键事件前,交易商持仓可能相当轻微,但由于预期欧央行加息以及美国就业数据疲弱,总体持仓可能为净多。如果特里谢未能清楚表明未来继续加息,欧元/ 美元多头可能削减,如果美国就业数据未如预期糟糕或失业率改善,也将为欧元/美元多头提供减仓理由。另一值得考虑的因素是,欧元兑美元汇率到达1.60会引发各国财长和央行行长什么样的反应?欧元兑美元上破1.60可能提振油价升至150美元/桶,进一步打压世界经济和全球股市,从而可能引发口头干预,阻止欧元兑美元创下新高。

  2. #2
    wu2080
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    短期:欧元兑美元难创新高

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